Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:45:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B6
0xb6a1…ab16
other · 108 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
+$34 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$71 · open −$43
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$598
Realized+$71
Unrealized−$43
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses48 / 47
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions13
Markets (closed)95 / 108
History coverage58d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day3.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 13 History 95 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$21
14 days−$17
30 days+$119
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Dr. Luizinho win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? No 81¢ 98¢ $150 $181 +$31 (+21%)
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 70¢ 48¢ $216 $148 −$68 (-31%)
Will André Português win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? No 75¢ 88¢ $107 $126 +$18 (+17%)
Will Felipe Curi win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? No 81¢ 86¢ $40 $42 +$2 (+6%)
Will André Ceciliano win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? No 85¢ 84¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? Yes 27¢ 29¢ $15 $16 +$1 (+6%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 47¢ 46¢ $16 $16 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 72¢ 72¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-9%)
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? Yes 71¢ 63¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-11%)
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 35¢ 16¢ $15 $7 −$8 (-54%)
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 8¢ 2¢ $18 $4 −$14 (-80%)
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 7¢ 2¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-78%)
Spread: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol (-1.5) Botafogo FR 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-02? Yes 65¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-16? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
São Paulo FC vs. Botafogo FR: Both Teams to Score No 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-05-06? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Racing Club win on 2026-05-06? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-29? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Egypt? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: France (-1.5) France 61¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Spread: EC Vitória (-1.5) CR Flamengo 45¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5) Cruzeiro EC 39¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Jun 13 $56 −$11 -20%
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meetin Jun 12 $5 +$5 +99%
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30? Jun 12 $5 −$1 -17%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $20 +$7 +34%
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) Jun 10 $15 +$8 +53%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 06 $29 −$28 -98%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Egypt? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -98%
Spread: France (-1.5) Jun 04 $20 −$20 -99%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 01 $20 +$9 +46%
Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5) May 30 $12 +$10 +86%
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5) May 30 $30 +$12 +40%
CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 3.5 May 30 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET May 29 $5 −$5 -96%
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5 May 29 $5 −$5 -99%
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-05-27? May 28 $10 +$13 +132%
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-26? May 27 $10 +$6 +62%
Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5) May 27 $30 +$28 +93%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 25 $23 +$10 +41%
São Paulo FC vs. Botafogo FR: Both Teams to Score May 23 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET May 23 $5 +$7 +134%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 22 $4 −$4 -97%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 22 $5 +$11 +208%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 22 $5 +$10 +192%
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-07? May 22 $33 +$31 +93%
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5) May 21 $12 +$32 +265%
Will CDP Junior FC win on 2026-05-20? May 21 $5 +$4 +79%
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-20? May 21 $13 +$8 +60%
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5) May 21 $1 −$1 -98%
Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-05-20? May 21 $2 +$2 +89%
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño end in a draw? May 21 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-05-19? May 20 $5 +$5 +97%
Will Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list? May 18 $10 +$5 +54%
Will CA Paranaense vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw? May 18 $10 +$14 +135%
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-16? May 17 $8 −$8 -98%
Spread: EC Vitória (-1.5) May 15 $15 −$15 -98%
Spread: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol (-1.5) May 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-13? May 14 $7 −$7 -98%
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. Goiás EC end in a draw? May 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5) May 13 $7 −$7 -98%
Cruzeiro EC vs. Goiás EC: O/U 1.5 May 13 $11 −$11 -99%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers May 12 $5 +$4 +71%
Will Cusco FC win on 2026-05-20? May 12 $15 −$15 -98%
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5) May 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-10? May 11 $17 +$13 +78%
Will Racing Club win on 2026-05-06? May 06 $1 −$1 -98%
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-05-06? May 06 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET May 06 $10 −$10 -95%
Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 May 06 $10 −$1 -11%
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-02? Apr 30 $11 −$11 -99%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? Apr 28 $20 +$3 +17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 39% −$33
other 27% +$72
sports 23% +$10
crypto 10% −$20
world 1% −$1
finance 0% +$1
weather 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? SELL No 12¢ $8 25m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $16 1h
Will André Ceciliano win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? BUY No 85¢ $30 4h
Will Dr. Luizinho win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? BUY No 81¢ $151 4h
Will Felipe Curi win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? BUY No 81¢ $40 5h
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meetin SELL Yes 74¢ $10 24h
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30? SELL Yes 35¢ $4 26h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 95¢ $27 45h
Will André Português win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? BUY No 75¢ $108 45h
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30? BUY Yes 41¢ $5 2d
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 BUY No 54¢ $5 2d
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 BUY No 53¢ $10 2d
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) SELL Argentina 90¢ $23 3d
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) BUY Argentina 58¢ $15 3d
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 72¢ $10 3d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect BUY Yes 7¢ $3 4d
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? BUY Yes 27¢ $16 4d
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? BUY Yes 71¢ $10 4d
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meetin BUY Yes 35¢ $5 4d
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? BUY No 7¢ $5 4d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $20 4d
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Brazil 38¢ $29 6d
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Egypt? BUY Yes 41¢ $1 6d
Spread: France (-1.5) BUY France 61¢ $20 8d
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? SELL No 11¢ $13 12d
CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 32¢ $3 13d
CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 44¢ $5 13d
Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5) BUY CR Flamengo 53¢ $12 13d
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5) BUY CR Flamengo 71¢ $30 13d
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? BUY No 8¢ $5 14d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -7.3% -16.1% 43% 43% -24.2%
≤30d 36 +21.0% +9.5% 58% 58% +14.2%
≤90d 95 -4.2% -13.3% 51% 51% -3.3%
all 95 -4.2% -13.3% 51% 51% -3.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.3% 51% -3.3%
10% -21.6% 45% -12.5%
15% -29.2% 41% -21.0%
20% -36.1% 35% -28.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $597.67 · official $597.67 (match) · 241 history records