trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -16.6% | -24.6% | 60% | 60% | -9.0% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -16.6% | -24.6% | 60% | 60% | -9.0% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -16.6% | -24.6% | 60% | 60% | -9.0% |
| all | 5 | -16.6% | -24.6% | 60% | 60% | -9.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -24.6% | 60% | -9.0% |
| 10% | -31.8% | 40% | -17.8% |
| 15% | -38.4% | 20% | -25.7% |
| 20% | -44.4% | 20% | -33.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 22 | $10 | +$3 | +29% |
| Will Trump say "UFC" 3+ times during UFC 250? | Jun 21 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Lionel Messi attend UFC Freedom 250? | Jun 21 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 21 | $7 | +$1 | +18% |
| Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 21 | $10 | +$7 | +70% |