trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 19 | -25.4% | -32.5% | 26% | 16% | -13.6% |
| ≤30d | 23 | -20.6% | -28.2% | 35% | 13% | -13.5% |
| ≤90d | 23 | -20.6% | -28.2% | 35% | 13% | -13.5% |
| all | 23 | -20.6% | -28.2% | 35% | 13% | -13.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -28.2% | 13% | -13.5% |
| 10% | -35.0% | 9% | -21.8% |
| 15% | -41.3% | 4% | -29.3% |
| 20% | -47.1% | 0% | -36.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 5.5 Corners | Under | 92¢ | 85¢ | $7 | $6 | −$0 (-8%) |
| IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners | Over | 97¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $0 | −$30 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 6.5 Total Corners | Jun 16 | $10 | +$3 | +29% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026? | Jun 15 | $2 | $0 | +11% |
| Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$3 | -28% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $50 | −$2 | -4% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $71 | −$4 | -6% |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on Ju | Jun 14 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Jun 14 | $60 | −$11 | -19% |
| Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June | Jun 13 | $5 | −$3 | -50% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026? | Jun 13 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 12 | $34 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11? | Jun 11 | $128 | −$2 | -1% |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 11? | Jun 11 | $82 | +$1 | +2% |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 10? | Jun 10 | $146 | −$8 | -6% |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 10? | Jun 10 | $145 | −$7 | -5% |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 9? | Jun 09 | $6 | +$3 | +42% |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 5? | Jun 05 | $1 | $0 | -8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 5? | Jun 05 | $5 | $0 | +7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 5? | Jun 05 | $5 | $0 | +5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on June 3? | Jun 02 | $1 | $0 | +4% |