trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -10.9% | -19.4% | 40% | 30% | -23.3% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -19.0% | -26.7% | 36% | 27% | -63.3% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -19.0% | -26.7% | 36% | 27% | -63.3% |
| all | 167 | -1.8% | -11.2% | 32% | 23% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.2% | 23% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -19.7% | 23% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -27.4% | 17% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -34.5% | 15% | -33.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Jun 16 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | Jun 16 | $1 | $0 | +25% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 16 | $4 | +$1 | +32% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 16 | $6 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30 | Jun 16 | $6 | −$1 | -12% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Jun 13 | $2 | +$1 | +49% |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | Jun 13 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? | Jun 13 | $8 | $0 | -1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $2 | $0 | -2% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 | Jun 13 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays | Jun 02 | $41 | −$40 | -99% |
| Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers | Mar 18 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Thunder | Feb 25 | $20 | +$24 | +122% |
| Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Feb 07 | $1,008 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Feb 06 | $1,156 | −$1 | -0% |
| Knicks vs. Pistons | Feb 06 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Penguins vs. Sabres | Feb 06 | $12 | +$15 | +122% |
| Islanders vs. Devils | Feb 06 | $20 | +$20 | +100% |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Feb 05 | $1,005 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 04 | $1,040 | −$1 | -0% |
| Islanders vs. Capitals | Feb 04 | $34 | +$29 | +85% |
| Timberwolves vs. Raptors | Feb 04 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Feb 03 | $2,000 | −$2 | -0% |
| Senators vs. Hurricanes | Feb 03 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Feb 02 | $1,011 | −$1 | -0% |
| Hawks vs. Pacers | Feb 02 | $10 | +$11 | +108% |
| Spurs vs. Hornets | Feb 02 | $10 | +$16 | +156% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jan 30 | $1,960 | −$2 | -0% |
| Lakers vs. Cavaliers | Jan 30 | $30 | +$22 | +72% |
| Pistons vs. Suns | Jan 30 | $35 | −$35 | -100% |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jan 29 | $1,000 | −$1 | -0% |
| Jets vs. Devils | Jan 29 | $9 | +$10 | +113% |
| Sabres vs. Maple Leafs | Jan 29 | $13 | +$13 | +104% |
| Timberwolves vs. Mavericks | Jan 29 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jan 28 | $1,948 | −$2 | -0% |
| Lakers vs. Bulls | Jan 28 | $30 | +$26 | +85% |
| Blackhawks vs. Wild | Jan 27 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 26 | $957 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jan 25 | $1,007 | −$2 | -0% |
| Mavericks vs. Bucks | Jan 25 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies | Jan 25 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | Jan 25 | $13 | +$13 | +100% |
| Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Jan 24 | $1,000 | −$1 | -0% |
| Celtics vs. Bulls | Jan 24 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Trail Blazers | Jan 24 | $28 | +$19 | +70% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 22 | $1,115 | −$1 | -0% |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | Jan 22 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Jan 22 | $1,002 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jan 22 | $1,000 | −$2 | -0% |
| Devils vs. Oilers | Jan 22 | $6 | +$9 | +156% |