Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:09:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B6
0xb693…cfc9
sports · 559 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$4,832 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,377 · open −$455
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$352
Realized−$4,377
Unrealized−$455
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses306 / 252
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Est. fees paid−$4,895
Open positions1
Markets (closed)558 / 559
History coverage85d
Avg bet$763
Trades / day37.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 1 History 558 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,597
7 days+$3,758
14 days+$7,622
30 days+$6,665
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Legacy 39¢ 17¢ $807 $352 −$455 (-56%)
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Mexico 43¢ 0¢ $487 $0 −$487 (-100%)
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Juan Estevez 70¢ 0¢ $154 $0 −$154 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $570 +$252 +44%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $155 −$154 -99%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $582 −$426 -73%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $818 +$1,189 +145%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $592 +$257 +43%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $1,092 −$1,092 -100%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $496 −$487 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $843 +$1,175 +139%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 11 $1,832 +$1,887 +103%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1,024 +$811 +79%
Spread: UD Las Palmas (-1.5) Jun 11 $75 −$75 -100%
ITF Maanshan: Aoran Wang vs Stefan Storch Jun 10 $740 −$740 -100%
ITF Maanshan: Hoyoung Roh vs Matthew Dellavedova Jun 10 $607 +$136 +22%
Will UD Almería vs. CD Castellón end in a draw? Jun 10 $569 −$569 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 10 $1,020 −$44 -4%
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5) Jun 10 $579 −$579 -100%
Cholet vs. Paris Basketball Jun 10 $587 −$587 -100%
Tucuman: Juan Estevez vs Matias Soto Jun 10 $1,149 −$1,149 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 10 $568 +$35 +6%
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $586 +$562 +96%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $219 +$217 +99%
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 09 $757 +$412 +54%
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) Jun 09 $64 −$64 -100%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 09 $658 +$678 +103%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexis Galarneau Jun 09 $453 +$200 +44%
Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $40 +$23 +56%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $516 −$516 -100%
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov Jun 08 $56 −$56 -100%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Mees Rottgering Jun 08 $418 +$96 +23%
Stuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Bellucci Jun 08 $196 +$226 +115%
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy Jun 08 $857 −$675 -79%
Set Handicap: Fokina (-1.5) vs Bellucci (+1.5) Jun 08 $512 +$359 +70%
Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $583 +$466 +80%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $909 +$917 +101%
Saski Baskonia vs. Joventut Jun 07 $971 +$520 +54%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $762 −$762 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $835 +$709 +85%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $567 +$270 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 07 $139 −$139 -100%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 07 $735 −$735 -100%
Argentina leading at halftime? Jun 07 $87 +$50 +58%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $577 −$577 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 07 $591 −$591 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 06 $283 −$283 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 06 $588 +$451 +77%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $719 +$138 +19%
Will Albania win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $682 +$67 +10%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $300 +$279 +93%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $868 +$384 +44%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 06 $412 −$412 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 83% −$2,450
crypto 10% +$2,790
other 7% −$4,912
world 0% −$174
finance 0% −$86
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Legacy 39¢ $2 1h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Legacy 39¢ $168 1h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Legacy 39¢ $13 1h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Legacy 39¢ $635 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 99¢ $822 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 68¢ $570 3h
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez BUY Juan Estevez 70¢ $155 18h
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini SELL Andrea Collarini 12¢ $156 18h
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini BUY Andrea Collarini 43¢ $582 19h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) SELL Mexico 100¢ $2,008 19h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $849 19h
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) BUY Mexico 43¢ $496 19h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $592 21h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 40¢ $818 21h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Team Falcons 100¢ $2,018 21h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 41¢ $843 24h
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) SELL FURIA 99¢ $3,719 24h
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) BUY FURIA 48¢ $1,832 26h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 100¢ $1,835 26h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 55¢ $1,024 28h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY TheMongolz 84¢ $1,092 29h
Spread: UD Las Palmas (-1.5) BUY UD Las Palmas 21¢ $0 44h
Spread: UD Las Palmas (-1.5) BUY UD Las Palmas 21¢ $10 44h
Spread: UD Las Palmas (-1.5) BUY UD Las Palmas 21¢ $64 44h
ITF Maanshan: Aoran Wang vs Stefan Storch BUY Aoran Wang 74¢ $30 2d
ITF Maanshan: Aoran Wang vs Stefan Storch BUY Aoran Wang 76¢ $595 2d
ITF Maanshan: Aoran Wang vs Stefan Storch BUY Aoran Wang 76¢ $38 2d
ITF Maanshan: Aoran Wang vs Stefan Storch BUY Aoran Wang 77¢ $39 2d
ITF Maanshan: Aoran Wang vs Stefan Storch BUY Aoran Wang 76¢ $38 2d
ITF Maanshan: Hoyoung Roh vs Matthew Dellavedova SELL Matthew Dellavedova 95¢ $2 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-15.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 64 -2.7% -12.0% 56% 52% -0.7%
≤30d 256 -5.6% -14.6% 57% 52% -6.2%
≤90d 558 -6.0% -15.0% 55% 52% -10.5%
all 558 -6.0% -15.0% 55% 52% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.5 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.0% 52% -10.5%
10% -23.1% 47% -19.0%
15% ← realistic here -30.5% 41% -26.8%
20% -37.3% 28% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $351.70 · official $351.70 (match) · 3500 history records