trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | -46.9% | -52.0% | 27% | 20% | -7.8% |
| ≤30d | 29 | +20.4% | +8.9% | 31% | 28% | -0.2% |
| ≤90d | 29 | +20.4% | +8.9% | 31% | 28% | -0.2% |
| all | 29 | +20.4% | +8.9% | 31% | 28% | -0.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +8.9% | 28% | -0.2% |
| 10% | -1.5% | 28% | -9.7% |
| 15% | -11.0% | 28% | -18.5% |
| 20% | -19.7% | 21% | -26.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $100 | $114 | +$14 (+14%) |
| Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 | Over | 42¢ | 42¢ | $70 | $69 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5 | Over | 52¢ | 52¢ | $25 | $25 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $1,213 | +$662 | +55% |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5 | Jun 20 | $50 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $506 | +$314 | +62% |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $205 | −$200 | -98% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Algeria? | Jun 17 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Algeria? | Jun 17 | $31 | −$30 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria? | Jun 17 | $51 | −$5 | -9% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $1,010 | +$483 | +48% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1,539 | −$903 | -59% |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $50 | −$1 | -1% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $203 | +$2 | +1% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $41 | −$40 | -97% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $15 | −$15 | -97% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $818 | −$337 | -41% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $1,011 | +$552 | +55% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $26 | −$25 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $21 | +$379 | +1845% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $304 | −$300 | -99% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $704 | −$700 | -99% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $711 | +$765 | +108% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $204 | +$296 | +146% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $1,167 | +$491 | +42% |