Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:03:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B6
0xb669…8d15
crypto · 78 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses35 / 43
Open positions0
Markets (closed)78 / 78
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day106.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 78 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 57¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+75%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$9 +192%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +107%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -71%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $4 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $4 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Down 26¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)+21.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 78 +34.8% +21.9% 45% 42% +5.0%
≤30d 78 +34.8% +21.9% 45% 42% +5.0%
≤90d 78 +34.8% +21.9% 45% 42% +5.0%
all 78 +34.8% +21.9% 45% 42% +5.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover106.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +21.9% 42% +5.0%
10% ← realistic here +10.3% 42% -5.1%
15% -0.4% 42% -14.2%
20% -10.1% 38% -22.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.12 · official $0.00 (match) · 194 history records