Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:49:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B6
0xb668…6998
crypto · 240 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$9 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses143 / 97
Open positions0
Markets (closed)240 / 240
History coverage8d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day31.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 240 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$49
7 days−$57
14 days−$9
30 days−$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$7 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$9 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 228 -0.1% -9.7% 59% 59% -13.9%
≤30d 240 +1.0% -8.6% 60% 60% -10.1%
≤90d 240 +1.0% -8.6% 60% 60% -10.1%
all 240 +1.0% -8.6% 60% 60% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.6% 60% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -17.4% 60% -18.7%
15% -25.4% 60% -26.6%
20% -32.7% 60% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 383 history records