Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:56:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B6
0xb664…0ab6
weather · 407 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$115 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$117 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$22
Realized−$117
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses121 / 282
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions4
Markets (closed)403 / 407
History coverage79d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day19.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 4 History 403 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$37
14 days−$41
30 days−$41
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 86°F or higher on June 13? Yes 6¢ 8¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+27%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 14? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+14%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 15? No 63¢ 62¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 14? No 60¢ 57¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on June 9? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 −$3 -64%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 -5%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 +$1 +29%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 −$2 -37%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 −$4 -79%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 14? Jun 13 $5 $0 -7%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$3 +59%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 13? Jun 12 $5 −$2 -37%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June Jun 12 $5 −$2 -44%
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 −$2 -47%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or higher on June 13? Jun 12 $5 −$1 -18%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 −$4 -79%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 13? Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$2 +30%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 -9%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 −$3 -64%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or below on June 13? Jun 11 $5 $0 -8%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 12? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +38%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 13? Jun 11 $5 −$1 -16%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 11? Jun 11 $5 +$1 +22%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? Jun 11 $5 $0 -7%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? Jun 11 $5 −$1 -14%
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on June 11? Jun 11 $6 +$2 +32%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 +$1 +27%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 12? Jun 11 $5 −$1 -14%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 11? Jun 11 $10 −$2 -23%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 13? Jun 11 $5 $0 -8%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 +$3 +52%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 88-89°F on Ju Jun 11 $5 +$3 +54%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +13%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 +$1 +26%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 11? Jun 10 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 10? Jun 10 $5 −$3 -66%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 11? Jun 10 $1 $0 +11%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 81°F or below on June Jun 10 $5 +$1 +28%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 40°C on June 11? Jun 10 $1 $0 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 11? Jun 10 $5 $0 -6%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 10? Jun 10 $1 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 10? Jun 10 $3 −$2 -50%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June Jun 10 $2 +$1 +54%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 10? Jun 10 $1 $0 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 10? Jun 10 $5 +$1 +28%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 10? Jun 10 $1 $0 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 10? Jun 10 $5 −$3 -61%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 11? Jun 10 $5 +$1 +25%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 10? Jun 10 $1 $0 -22%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 11? Jun 10 $1 $0 -3%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 10? Jun 10 $1 $0 -14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 90% −$109
other 4% −$3
world 3% +$1
sports 2% −$2
crypto 1% −$1
finance 1% $0
tech 0% −$1
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 25¢ $2 49m
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 25¢ $0 49m
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 14? BUY Yes 4¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 13? SELL No 45¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 15? BUY No 63¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 82¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 86°F or higher on June 13? BUY Yes 6¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 13? SELL No 35¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 13? SELL No 7¢ $0 3h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 13? SELL No 6¢ $0 3h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 13? SELL No 6¢ $0 3h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 13? SELL No 5¢ $0 3h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 13? SELL No 4¢ $0 3h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 13? BUY No 24¢ $5 3h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 14? SELL No 71¢ $5 3h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 62¢ $3 7h
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 13? SELL No 71¢ $4 7h
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 13? SELL No 73¢ $1 7h
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 13? SELL No 71¢ $2 7h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 67¢ $5 7h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 13? BUY No 45¢ $5 7h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 12? SELL No 99¢ $8 8h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 13? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 15h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 13? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 15h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 13? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 15h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 13? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 15h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 13? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 15h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 13? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 15h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 13? SELL Yes 3¢ $1 15h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 13? SELL Yes 3¢ $0 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-18.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 129 -10.4% -19.0% 32% 24% -18.6%
≤30d 132 -12.0% -20.4% 31% 23% -19.5%
≤90d 403 -9.8% -18.4% 30% 20% -19.3%
all 403 -9.8% -18.4% 30% 20% -19.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.4% 20% -19.3%
10% -26.2% 14% -27.0%
15% -33.4% 8% -34.1%
20% -39.9% 5% -40.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $21.83 · official $21.83 (match) · 1590 history records