trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -1.0% | -10.5% | 0% | 0% | -10.6% |
| ≤90d | 26 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 0% | 0% | -10.1% |
| all | 26 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 0% | 0% | -10.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.0% | 0% | -10.1% |
| 10% | -18.6% | 0% | -18.7% |
| 15% | -26.5% | 0% | -26.6% |
| 20% | -33.7% | 0% | -33.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 19 | $818 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 17 | $819 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 14 | $821 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 12 | $821 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 09 | $1,798 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 04 | $825 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 02 | $1,267 | −$136 | -11% |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 31 | $828 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 28 | $1,616 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 24 | $966 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 22 | $966 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 20 | $967 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 18 | $970 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 16 | $969 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 14 | $973 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina | May 12 | $916 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 10 | $976 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 06 | $1,968 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 04 | $979 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 30 | $982 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 28 | $989 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 mee | Apr 26 | $989 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 24 | $989 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 20 | $991 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 m | Apr 18 | $992 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 16 | $993 | −$1 | -0% |