trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.7% | -10.1% | 0% | 0% | -10.1% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +20.4% | +9.0% | 33% | 11% | -12.5% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +8.4% | -1.9% | 30% | 10% | -12.5% |
| all | 26 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 46% | 8% | -11.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.8% | 8% | -11.3% |
| 10% | -18.5% | 8% | -19.8% |
| 15% | -26.3% | 8% | -27.5% |
| 20% | -33.6% | 8% | -34.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 23 | $36 | $0 | -0% |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | Jun 23 | $33 | $0 | -1% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $66 | $0 | -0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 14 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $49 | +$3 | +5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 13 | $17 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 12 | $42 | −$13 | -31% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? | Jun 09 | $41 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 08 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after | Mar 31 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025? | Dec 22 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%? | Jun 24 | $8 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Apr 17 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60k in April? | Apr 16 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30? | Apr 15 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by over 12%? | Apr 14 | $8 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1300 on Apr 18? | Apr 13 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Bloc Québécois win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canad | Apr 12 | $9 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 7-14? | Mar 15 | $9 | +$1 | +7% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch before April? | Mar 07 | $9 | $0 | +1% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Celtics | Mar 07 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| 25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting? | Mar 07 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Canisius vs. Rider | Mar 05 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| George Washington vs. Fordham | Mar 05 | $19 | −$1 | -5% |
| Will Trump's 2025 joint address get 42-46m viewers? | Mar 05 | $19 | $0 | -1% |
| New Mexico vs. Boise State | Mar 05 | $10 | +$10 | +100% |