Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:08:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B6
0xb649…e8b2
sports · 151 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$66
Realized+$0
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses66 / 80
Est. fees paid−$32
Open positions5
Markets (closed)146 / 151
History coverage8d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day60.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 5 History 146 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$113
7 days+$4
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Qatar 40¢ 40¢ $41 $42 +$1 (+1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score No 53¢ 54¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+1%)
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner UCAM Esports Club 27¢ 38¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+39%)
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker Nicolas Kicker 58¢ 26¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-55%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Sho Shimabukuro 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5 Under 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Heilbronn: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Luka Mikrut Diego Dedura-Palomero 33¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5 Under 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. FC Imabari end in a draw? No 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5 Over 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Under 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Daniel Merida Aguilar 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF: O/U 0.5 Under 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5 Under 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5) Texas Rangers 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Athletics vs. Houston Astros Athletics 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5 Under 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) Washington Nationals 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Romania vs. Wales: Both Teams to Score No 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Under 63¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley Darwin Blanch 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Heilbronn: Henri Squire vs Emilio Nava Henri Squire 21¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
ITF Zagreb: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Anna-Lena Friedsam Jun 13 $5 +$1 +17%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Jun 13 $10 +$3 +26%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Katie Volynets Jun 13 $11 −$2 -22%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton Jun 13 $7 −$1 -14%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $11 −$2 -18%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic Jun 13 $26 −$3 -13%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $16 −$3 -21%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions Jun 13 $10 +$2 +21%
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 13 $5 +$1 +21%
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Anastasia Tikhonova Jun 13 $129 −$14 -11%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $37 +$7 +19%
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $97 $0 +0%
ITF Hurghada: Martyna Kubka vs Gabriela Andrea Knutson Jun 13 $12 +$2 +19%
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Sara Saito Jun 13 $21 −$2 -8%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $59 +$13 +22%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates Jun 13 $31 +$3 +8%
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5) Jun 13 $21 −$2 -9%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $10 −$1 -15%
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5) Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $78 −$13 -17%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $15 −$7 -44%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 Jun 13 $5 −$1 -28%
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) Jun 13 $26 −$7 -27%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $23 +$95 +414%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $41 −$41 -99%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $14 +$3 +21%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $56 −$15 -27%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $32 −$31 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $30 +$4 +15%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $5 +$2 +43%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 +$156 +1536%
Spread: France (-2.5) Jun 12 $5 −$1 -10%
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 $0 -4%
Spread: Sweden (-1.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 -4%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Spread: England (-1.5) Jun 10 $5 +$2 +33%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $16 −$9 -57%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $5 +$2 +34%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Nigeria leading at halftime? Jun 10 $9 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 89% +$25
other 11% −$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 27¢ $5 2m
ITF Zagreb: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Anna-Lena Friedsam SELL Kajsa Rinaldo Persson 58¢ $6 2m
ITF Zagreb: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Anna-Lena Friedsam BUY Kajsa Rinaldo Persson 48¢ $5 10m
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Martin Landaluce 87¢ $6 11m
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker BUY Nicolas Kicker 58¢ $5 42m
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo BUY Aleksandar Kovacevic 86¢ $5 42m
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Marc-Andrea Huesler 62¢ $7 45m
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 71¢ $5 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Katie Volynets SELL Katie Volynets 39¢ $8 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 32¢ $5 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton SELL Harry Wendelken 85¢ $6 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Katie Volynets BUY Katie Volynets 48¢ $5 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Katie Volynets BUY Katie Volynets 48¢ $5 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa SELL Tessa Brockmann 21¢ $6 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa BUY Tessa Brockmann 17¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 38¢ $9 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Marc-Andrea Huesler 46¢ $5 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Harry Wendelken 98¢ $7 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 45¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 44¢ $5 1h
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic SELL Donna Vekic 43¢ $22 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 83¢ $5 4h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL B8 38¢ $6 4h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY B8 31¢ $5 4h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Sho Shimabukuro 43¢ $5 4h
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions SELL Samsung Lions 78¢ $7 4h
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Darwin Blanch 41¢ $5 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner SELL TheMongolz 73¢ $6 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 67¢ $5 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner SELL TheMongolz 70¢ $7 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-17.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 130 -11.5% -19.9% 43% 33% -9.3%
≤30d 146 -9.0% -17.7% 45% 36% -9.5%
≤90d 146 -9.0% -17.7% 45% 36% -9.5%
all 146 -9.0% -17.7% 45% 36% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover60.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.7% 36% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -25.6% 24% -18.2%
15% -32.8% 18% -26.1%
20% -39.3% 15% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $66.46 · official $66.46 (match) · 532 history records