Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:29:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B6
0xb61f…976a
sports · 1258 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$2,853 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,266 · open +$336
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,236
Realized+$1,266
Unrealized+$336
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses853 / 398
Whale WR (big bets)72%
Est. fees paid−$1,483
Open positions7
Markets (closed)1251 / 1258
History coverage128d
Avg bet$472
Trades / day17.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 7 History 1251 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$588
7 days−$481
14 days+$431
30 days+$2,187
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 54¢ 100¢ $400 $737 +$337 (+84%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 71¢ 100¢ $300 $424 +$124 (+41%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? No 75¢ 74¢ $300 $298 −$2 (-1%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? No 71¢ 70¢ $300 $298 −$2 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 88¢ 90¢ $200 $203 +$3 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 57¢ 56¢ $200 $198 −$2 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 48¢ 18¢ $200 $77 −$123 (-61%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 86¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-27? Yes 60¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 39¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 62¢ 0¢ $700 $0 −$700 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 89¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Chisinau: Lorenzo Giustino vs Luca Nardi Lorenzo Giustino 61¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Anyones Legend 65¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5 Under 55¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Legacy 52¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 51¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 50¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5) OGC Nice 62¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 51¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-05-20? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 53¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B NIP 73¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs 9z 55¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 58¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $202 +$89 +44%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 14 $201 +$58 +29%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $202 +$107 +53%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $101 −$100 -99%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $101 +$74 +73%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $606 −$46 -8%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $101 −$100 -99%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $202 −$200 -99%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $100 +$13 +13%
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Jun 14 $303 +$125 +41%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $203 +$273 +134%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 14 $202 −$200 -99%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $204 −$200 -98%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $404 −$400 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $202 +$126 +62%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $202 +$88 +44%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $202 +$71 +35%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $153 −$150 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $302 −$30 -10%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $303 +$181 +60%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $201 +$55 +27%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 13 $202 −$200 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $202 +$80 +40%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $201 +$46 +23%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $201 −$200 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $202 +$80 +40%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1,008 +$342 +34%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $302 −$4 -1%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $201 +$32 +16%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $202 +$137 +67%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $253 +$82 +32%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $201 +$48 +24%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $1,307 +$265 +20%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $201 +$46 +23%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $301 −$300 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $610 −$448 -74%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $504 +$203 +40%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $505 −$500 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $204 −$200 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $404 −$400 -99%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $301 +$44 +15%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $301 +$32 +11%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $604 +$173 +29%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $303 +$127 +42%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $407 +$618 +152%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $607 +$393 +65%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $306 −$300 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $506 +$301 +60%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $402 +$74 +18%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $708 −$700 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 81% +$3,186
other 16% −$1,012
crypto 2% −$1,074
weather 0% +$191
world 0% +$311
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta BUY Vitality 88¢ $201 58m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 57¢ $203 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 48¢ $203 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner SELL FUT Esports 100¢ $291 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $259 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 77¢ $101 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 70¢ $101 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 79¢ $101 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 75¢ $302 1h
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 71¢ $303 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 74¢ $101 4h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 64¢ $101 4h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 67¢ $202 4h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 43¢ $203 4h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 58¢ $101 7h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 77¢ $201 7h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 68¢ $101 8h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 70¢ $101 9h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 60¢ $101 9h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 66¢ $202 9h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 88¢ $100 10h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $101 11h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 72¢ $303 11h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 28¢ $144 11h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $304 12h
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) BUY Spurs 72¢ $202 15h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Haiti 73¢ $101 15h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Haiti 73¢ $101 15h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Haiti 65¢ $101 15h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 39¢ $204 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 77 -5.3% -14.3% 62% 62% -10.4%
≤30d 312 +5.8% -4.3% 69% 67% -6.1%
≤90d 1019 -6.3% -15.2% 64% 57% -16.4%
all 1251 -0.5% -10.0% 68% 58% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.0% 58% -9.3%
10% -18.6% 42% -18.0%
15% -26.4% 29% -25.9%
20% -33.7% 20% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,236.43 · official $2,236.46 (match) · 3112 history records