trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -31.2% | -37.8% | 0% | 0% | -19.9% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -31.2% | -37.8% | 0% | 0% | -19.9% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -31.2% | -37.8% | 0% | 0% | -19.9% |
| all | 7 | -30.9% | -37.5% | 0% | 0% | -20.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -37.5% | 0% | -20.0% |
| 10% | -43.4% | 0% | -27.7% |
| 15% | -48.9% | 0% | -34.7% |
| 20% | -53.9% | 0% | -41.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Jun 21 | $328 | −$39 | -12% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 5PM ET | Jun 21 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | Jun 21 | $62 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 21 | $3 | −$2 | -53% |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 21 | $3 | $0 | -13% |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 21 | $3 | $0 | -8% |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | Aug 08 | $5 | −$1 | -29% |