Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T09:01:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B6 0xb61b…e616 crypto 113 markets active 3d ago coverage 19d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 19d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (176 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$3,910 (-5%) realized −$3,910 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR35%break-even
Win rate47%67W / 75L
Whale WR64%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$645per market
Trades / day176.5pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 19d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$3,917
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (176 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 -64.8% -68.2% 9% 9% -90.6%
≤30d 142 -2.3% -11.6% 47% 35% -18.0%
≤90d 142 -2.3% -11.6% 47% 35% -18.0%
all 142 -2.3% -11.6% 47% 35% -18.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover176.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.6% 35% -18.0%
10% ← realistic here -20.0% 26% -25.9%
15% -27.8% 23% -33.0%
20% -34.8% 15% -39.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 22% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
25% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 64% (≥$593) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +30% → late -34% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
17.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$243 vs −$297 · ×0.82 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.73 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,910
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses67 / 75
Whale WR (big bets)64%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)142 / 113
History coverage19d ⚠
Avg bet$645
Trades / day176.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 142 Trades
no open positions (71 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 28 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 28 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 28 $130 −$130 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 28 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 28 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 28 $110 −$110 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 28 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 28 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 28 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 28 $124 −$124 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 28 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 28 $174 −$174 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 28 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 28 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 28 $30 −$24 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 28 $89 −$89 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 28 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 28 $5 +$10 +202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 28 $94 −$94 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 28 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 28 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 28 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 28 $14 +$68 +481%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 28 $278 −$278 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 28 $30 −$24 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 28 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 28 $80 −$13 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 28 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 25 $218 −$211 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 25 $510 −$490 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 25 $116 +$24 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 20 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 20 $7 +$2 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 20 $15 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 18 $37 −$33 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 18 $17 +$11 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 18 $12 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 18 $8 +$11 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 18 $6 +$2 +41%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? Jun 18 $6 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $35 −$34 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $54 −$51 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $53 +$9 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $35 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 15 $25 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $11 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $218 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $105 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $42 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $52 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $104 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $104 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $104 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records