Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:27:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B6
0xb617…9a8a
crypto · 331 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$77 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$93 · open +$16
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$46
Realized−$93
Unrealized+$16
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses175 / 154
Open positions2
Markets (closed)329 / 331
History coverage2d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day965.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 329 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$93
7 days−$93
14 days−$93
30 days−$93
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 62¢ 100¢ $15 $24 +$9 (+60%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 63¢ 92¢ $15 $22 +$7 (+44%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$9 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$14 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$7 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$6 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$8 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$6 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$5 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $66 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$10 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$18 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$10 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$7 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$10 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$8 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $45 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$7 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$14 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$10 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$13 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$5 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$4 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$12 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$8 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$9 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$8 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$15 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$10 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$9 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $29 −$8 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$6 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$7 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$10 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$9 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$26 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$4 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$9 -60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$77
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $6 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 47m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-6.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 329 +3.2% -6.6% 53% 50% -10.7%
≤30d 329 +3.2% -6.6% 53% 50% -10.7%
≤90d 329 +3.2% -6.6% 53% 50% -10.7%
all 329 +3.2% -6.6% 53% 50% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover965.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.6% 50% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -15.5% 47% -19.3%
15% -23.7% 37% -27.1%
20% -31.2% 27% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $45.66 · official $36.19 · 2070 history records