Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:17:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B6
0xb610…2797
other · 7 markets active 0h ago
5.0score
+$7 +34%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$8 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$14
Realized+$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses3 / 0
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)3 / 7
Avg bet$3
Trades / day12.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit43%
Chart Positions 4 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days+$8
14 days+$8
30 days+$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 54¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+0%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Canada 27¢ 26¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Spread: United States (-1.5) United States 23¢ 22¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-7%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 +$3 +171%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +187%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $3 +$2 +72%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 70% +$5
sports 30% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Canada (-1.5) BUY Canada 27¢ $1 27m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $3 27m
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 23¢ $1 3h
Spread: Canada (-1.5) BUY Canada 27¢ $1 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $5 4h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $3 4h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 97¢ $6 5h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? SELL Yes 88¢ $3 5h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL Yes 57¢ $5 5h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 30¢ $1 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 35¢ $2 6h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $3 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+120.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +143.6% +120.4% 100% 100% +103.1%
≤30d 3 +143.6% +120.4% 100% 100% +103.1%
≤90d 3 +143.6% +120.4% 100% 100% +103.1%
all 3 +143.6% +120.4% 100% 100% +103.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +120.4% 100% +103.1%
10% +99.3% 100% +83.6%
15% +80.0% 100% +65.9%
20% +62.4% 100% +49.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.85 · official $13.85 (match) · 12 history records