trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 1 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 26 | -0.9% | -10.4% | 50% | 0% | -9.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.4% | 0% | -9.8% |
| 10% | -18.9% | 0% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -26.8% | 0% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -33.9% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $42 | $42 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $160 in May? | Jun 16 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Solana dip to $90 in January? | Feb 05 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31? | Jan 09 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $510 end of November? | Dec 05 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will XRP dip to $2.50 in August? | Sep 17 | $18 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will Solana reach $250 in July? | Aug 12 | $18 | $0 | +1% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.10-1.14ºC in June 2025? | Jul 16 | $19 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will XRP dip to $1.50 in May? | Jun 03 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Latvia win Eurovision 2025? | May 14 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April? | May 05 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Liam Lawson be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 22 | $17 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 18 | $17 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the Eastern Conference? | Apr 13 | $1,391 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Solana dip to $100 by March? | Apr 02 | $20 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 14 | $13 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 11 | $3,933 | −$4 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by February 28, 2025? | Mar 03 | $15 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Joel Embiid lead the NBA in scoring? | Feb 17 | $17 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $3,750 by January 31, 2025? | Feb 02 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting? | Jan 25 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Bournemouth wins the Premier League? | Jan 25 | $28 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | Jan 20 | $26 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Ethereum hit $8,000.00 by March 31? | Jan 18 | $25 | $0 | -2% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting? | Jan 18 | $27 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Real Madrid win La Liga? | Jan 17 | $2 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Real Betis win La Liga? | Jan 08 | $39 | −$13 | -33% |