Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:23:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B6
0xb604…ebb4
other · 31 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
−$18 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$18 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$18
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 31
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)31 / 31
History coverage78d
Avg bet$445
Trades / day1.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 0 History 31 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$9
14 days−$9
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? Jun 14 $1,183 −$1 -0%
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 14 $63 $0 -0%
Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $17 $0 -0%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 13 $1,169 −$3 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 14? Jun 13 $1,197 −$1 -0%
Will Sacramento Kings win the 2027 NBA Finals? Jun 13 $69 $0 -0%
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 13 $1,264 −$2 -0%
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 13 $1,194 −$2 -0%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 15 $55 $0 -0%
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 15 $25 $0 -0%
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 15 $23 $0 -0%
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 12 $38 $0 -0%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? May 12 $34 −$1 -3%
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election May 11 $939 −$1 -0%
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 11 $53 $0 -0%
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? May 11 $10 $0 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 11 $942 −$1 -0%
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? May 11 $1,022 −$1 -0%
Will Cameron Norrie win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 11 $52 $0 -0%
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 11 $1,005 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May? May 11 $990 −$2 -0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? May 10 $60 $0 -0%
Will Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? May 10 $59 $0 -0%
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? May 10 $908 $0 -0%
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 10 $1,007 −$1 -0%
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? Apr 03 $13 $0 -1%
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Apr 01 $142 $0 -0%
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 01 $36 $0 -0%
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Mar 28 $151 $0 -0%
Netanyahu arrested by March 31? Mar 28 $64 $0 -0%
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair? Mar 28 $24 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 40% −$7
crypto 25% −$6
other 18% −$2
economics 9% −$2
world 7% −$1
sports 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? SELL No 100¢ $1,181 43m
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $63 54m
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $23 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? BUY No 100¢ $1,147 1h
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $13 1h
Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $17 1h
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $27 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? BUY No 100¢ $35 1h
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 98¢ $832 1h
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 98¢ $334 2h
Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $17 2h
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 98¢ $1,169 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 14? SELL Yes 100¢ $1,195 21h
Will Sacramento Kings win the 2027 NBA Finals? SELL No 99¢ $69 21h
Will Sacramento Kings win the 2027 NBA Finals? BUY No 99¢ $22 21h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 100¢ $1,163 21h
Will Sacramento Kings win the 2027 NBA Finals? BUY No 99¢ $22 21h
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $1,262 21h
Will Sacramento Kings win the 2027 NBA Finals? BUY No 99¢ $26 22h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 100¢ $34 22h
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $1,241 22h
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $951 22h
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $23 22h
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $242 22h
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $1,194 22h
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 98¢ $55 29d
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $25 29d
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 98¢ $41 29d
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $12 29d
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $12 29d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 11 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 31 -0.3% -9.8% 0% 0% -9.6%
all 31 -0.3% -9.8% 0% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.8% 0% -9.6%
10% -18.4% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.3% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 93 history records