Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T01:29:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
B6 0xb602…7839 crypto 722 markets active 0h ago coverage 15d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 15d only
✗ bot/MM pace (197 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$230 (+6%) realized +$230 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR28%break-even
Win rate50%363W / 359L
Drawdown63%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day197.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$52
7 days+$51
14 days+$98
30 days+$95
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$95
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (197 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 266 +7.1% -3.1% 58% 29% -0.4%
≤30d 722 +0.6% -8.9% 50% 28% -7.1%
≤90d 722 +0.6% -8.9% 50% 28% -7.1%
all 722 +0.6% -8.9% 50% 28% -7.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover197.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.9% 28% -7.1%
10% ← realistic here -17.7% 17% -16.0%
15% -25.6% 11% -24.1%
20% -32.9% 7% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
40% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late +5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$1 · ×1.19 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.21 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

15d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$230
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses363 / 359
Open positions0
Markets (closed)722 / 722
History coverage15d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day197.2
Drawdown63%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 722 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$3 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 17 $15 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 17 $8 +$7 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $16 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 17 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 17 $6 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$2 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 17 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 17 $19 +$29 +151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 17 $6 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 17 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 +$3 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$2 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 17¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Down 19¢ $1 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records