Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:49:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
B6 0xb601…c31f crypto 1863 markets active 6d ago coverage 29d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 28d only
✗ bot/MM pace (67 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$12 (-0%) realized −$12 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR76%break-even
Win rate80%1583W / 406L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day67.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$4now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$233
7 days−$238
14 days−$238
30 days−$275
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$48
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (67 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +76%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 183 -70.6% -73.4% 25% 25% -72.6%
≤30d 1479 -10.3% -18.8% 77% 77% -18.7%
≤90d 1989 -7.9% -16.7% 80% 76% -16.4%
all 1989 -7.9% -16.7% 80% 76% -16.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover67.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.7% 76% -16.4%
10% ← realistic here -24.6% 1% -24.4%
15% -31.9% 0% -31.7%
20% -38.6% 0% -38.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 0% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -15% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.16 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.62 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

29d coverage
Net worth$4
Realized−$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses1583 / 406
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1989 / 1863
History coverage29d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day67.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1989 Trades
no open positions (406 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.09 · official $4.09 (match) · 3500 history records