Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:24:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B6
0xb601…b6fb
crypto · 106 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$832 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$245 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$245
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses48 / 58
Open positions0
Markets (closed)106 / 106
History coverage27d
Avg bet$108
Trades / day12.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 106 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$200
7 days−$200
14 days+$188
30 days−$245
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $206 −$98 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $310 −$117 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $208 +$217 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $207 −$54 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $205 +$88 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $208 −$155 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $157 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $154 −$147 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $170 −$15 -9%
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Jun 14 $38 −$22 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $155 −$123 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $274 +$77 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $361 +$399 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $281 −$241 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $260 +$322 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $354 −$82 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $173 −$85 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $419 −$26 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $202 +$28 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $166 −$166 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 01 $52 +$75 +143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 01 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 01 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 01 $5 +$92 +1714%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 01 $109 −$5 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 01 $108 +$70 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 01 $104 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 01 $207 +$193 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET May 21 $83 −$83 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET May 21 $46 +$40 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET May 21 $44 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET May 21 $189 −$104 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET May 21 $233 −$6 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET May 21 $206 −$189 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET May 21 $43 +$30 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET May 21 $205 −$124 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET May 21 $247 +$40 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET May 21 $130 +$64 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET May 21 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET May 21 $307 +$38 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET May 21 $333 +$16 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET May 21 $104 +$47 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET May 21 $104 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET May 21 $31 −$16 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET May 21 $63 −$60 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET May 20 $58 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET May 20 $117 +$48 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET May 20 $125 −$26 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET May 20 $46 −$4 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET May 20 $46 −$4 -9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$223
other 0% −$22
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $108 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $206 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Up 26¢ $97 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $207 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $96 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $104 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $425 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $208 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $153 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $207 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $293 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $205 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 11¢ $53 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $208 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $158 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $157 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $7 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $154 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $16 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $222 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $154 52m
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? SELL No 10¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $25 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $155 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $335 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $258 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $361 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $111 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)+8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 +5.1% -4.9% 35% 30% -12.5%
≤30d 106 +19.7% +8.3% 45% 41% -11.1%
≤90d 106 +19.7% +8.3% 45% 41% -11.1%
all 106 +19.7% +8.3% 45% 41% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +8.3% 41% -11.1%
10% -2.1% 34% -19.6%
15% -11.5% 32% -27.4%
20% -20.2% 23% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 346 history records