Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb5fe…b9b0
crypto · 432 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$584 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$558 · open −$27
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$42
Realized−$558
Unrealized−$27
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses271 / 160
Open positions1
Markets (closed)431 / 432
History coverage2d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day415.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 431 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$558
7 days−$558
14 days−$558
30 days−$558
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 50¢ 94¢ $21 $39 +$19 (+89%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 68¢ 6¢ $29 $2 −$27 (-92%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $48 −$8 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $58 −$14 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $55 −$14 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $58 −$17 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $53 −$6 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $60 −$19 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $39 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $53 −$12 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $39 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $64 −$22 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$11 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $48 −$7 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $39 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $57 −$15 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $54 −$11 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $39 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $39 +$7 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $38 +$9 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$16 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $42 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $39 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $41 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $41 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $48 −$7 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $41 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $41 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $39 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $57 −$15 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $57 −$16 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $42 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$11 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$4 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$9 -18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$584
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $30 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $22 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $27 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $18 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $22 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $34 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $23 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $17 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $20 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $33 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $22 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $18 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $22 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $37 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $22 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $18 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $22 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $17 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $23 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $29 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $24 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $38 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $16 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-17.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 431 -9.1% -17.8% 63% 49% -14.7%
≤30d 431 -9.1% -17.8% 63% 49% -14.7%
≤90d 431 -9.1% -17.8% 63% 49% -14.7%
all 431 -9.1% -17.8% 63% 49% -14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover415.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.8% 49% -14.7%
10% ← realistic here -25.6% 23% -22.9%
15% -32.8% 5% -30.3%
20% -39.4% 2% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $41.67 · official $42.05 (match) · 1233 history records