Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T11:06:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb5f8…8e32
weather · 476 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$236 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$317 · open +$85
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,447
Realized−$317
Unrealized+$85
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses373 / 133
Whale WR (big bets)93%
Open positions14
Markets (closed)506 / 476
History coverage66d
Avg bet$290
Trades / day47.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 14 History 506 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$833
7 days−$765
14 days−$421
30 days−$619
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $627 $633 +$6 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $322 $327 +$4 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 13? No 93¢ 100¢ $123 $132 +$9 (+8%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 13? Yes 65¢ 85¢ $88 $116 +$28 (+32%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 13? No 68¢ 93¢ $46 $63 +$17 (+36%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 13? No 95¢ 100¢ $55 $58 +$3 (+5%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 13? Yes 78¢ 100¢ $38 $49 +$11 (+28%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 13? No 84¢ 100¢ $29 $35 +$6 (+19%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 13? No 96¢ 100¢ $15 $16 +$1 (+4%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 13? No 82¢ 100¢ $12 $15 +$3 (+22%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 2¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+37%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 13¢ 16¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+23%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-29%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on February 7? Yes 36¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 11PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on March 30? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? No 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C or higher on February 15? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on May 13? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 14? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on May 13? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 7? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 5AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 4? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on February 7? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 11PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on March 30? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C or higher on February 15? Jun 13 $43 −$43 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 7? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 5AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$7 -3468%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 4? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 10PM ET Jun 13 $58 −$77 -134%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on April 3? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on April 5? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 8? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 2? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 2? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 7PM ET Jun 13 $106 −$106 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 11? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 6AM ET Jun 13 $236 −$236 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 6? Jun 13 $2 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Spurs vs. Thunder Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Morocco vs. Mali end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on April 5? Jun 13 $0 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 7AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on April 5? Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 28? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on March 26? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on March 30? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 2AM ET Jun 13 $116 −$116 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on February 24? Jun 13 $1 $0 +68%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will PSG win in regular time against Flamengo? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Levante UD end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 3? Jun 13 $2 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 11AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on February 15? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 6? Jun 13 $80 −$80 -100%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 13? Jun 13 $17 +$5 +30%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $8 −$1 -7%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 −$2 -52%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 +$3 +25%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 12? Jun 12 $8 +$1 +17%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $28 +$2 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $22 +$3 +15%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $30 +$2 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $141 +$10 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% +$587
crypto 0% −$3
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 13? BUY Yes 86¢ $17 1h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 13? BUY Yes 86¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 13? BUY No 95¢ $8 1h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 13? BUY No 75¢ $11 1h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 13? BUY No 66¢ $20 1h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 13? BUY No 68¢ $16 1h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 13? BUY Yes 70¢ $11 1h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 13? BUY Yes 59¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 13? BUY Yes 62¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 13? BUY No 96¢ $24 1h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 13? BUY Yes 62¢ $7 1h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 13? BUY Yes 58¢ $12 1h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 13? BUY Yes 58¢ $9 1h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 13? BUY Yes 58¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 13? SELL No 42¢ $16 2h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 13? SELL Yes 40¢ $7 2h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 13? BUY Yes 56¢ $6 2h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 13? BUY No 96¢ $57 2h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 13? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 2h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 13? SELL No 98¢ $23 3h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 13? BUY Yes 29¢ $3 3h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 13? BUY No 52¢ $21 3h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 13? BUY No 86¢ $20 3h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 13? BUY No 85¢ $9 3h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 13? BUY No 83¢ $6 3h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 13? BUY No 83¢ $0 3h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? SELL Yes 74¢ $7 4h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 78¢ $8 4h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 13? BUY No 82¢ $12 5h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 13? BUY Yes 87¢ $9 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-15.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 99 -35.7% -41.8% 46% 22% -24.1%
≤30d 218 -13.9% -22.1% 63% 21% -12.0%
≤90d 506 -6.5% -15.4% 74% 17% -9.3%
all 506 -6.5% -15.4% 74% 17% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover47.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.4% 17% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -23.5% 8% -18.0%
15% -30.9% 5% -25.9%
20% -37.7% 4% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,446.59 · official $1,446.59 (match) · 3500 history records