trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | Yes | 49¢ | 40¢ | $500 | $403 | −$97 (-19%) |
| Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | Yes | 5¢ | 4¢ | $200 | $163 | −$37 (-19%) |
| Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $200 | $142 | −$58 (-29%) |
| Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | Yes | 7¢ | 5¢ | $200 | $140 | −$60 (-30%) |
| Will FUT qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? | No | 62¢ | 72¢ | $100 | $116 | +$16 (+16%) |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Natus Vincere | 29¢ | 34¢ | $9 | $11 | +$1 (+16%) |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Natus Vincere | 13¢ | 0¢ | $400 | $0 | −$400 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 12 | $866 | +$263 | +30% |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 12 | $304 | +$71 | +23% |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 12 | $509 | −$17 | -3% |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag | Jun 11 | $615 | −$333 | -54% |
| Will 9z qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? | Jun 11 | $51 | −$4 | -8% |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S | Jun 11 | $101 | +$22 | +21% |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 11 | $101 | +$24 | +24% |
| Will Biden finish his term? | Jun 10 | $10 | +$1 | +8% |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | Dec 05 | $100 | $0 | -0% |
| Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July? | Dec 05 | $155 | −$24 | -15% |
| Will Trump's hush money conviction be overturned? | Dec 05 | $500 | −$390 | -78% |
| Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | Dec 05 | $500 | +$65 | +13% |
| Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? | Dec 05 | $200 | +$591 | +296% |
| Will Biden pardon Trump? | Dec 05 | $1,000 | +$5 | +0% |
| Trump declassifies Diddy list? | Dec 05 | $2,000 | −$1,097 | -55% |
| Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | Dec 05 | $1,000 | +$446 | +45% |
| Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days? | Dec 05 | $1,890 | −$124 | -6% |
| MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment? | Dec 05 | $2,700 | −$96 | -4% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November? | Nov 16 | $85 | −$85 | -100% |
| Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | Nov 16 | $1,286 | +$755 | +59% |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson? | Nov 16 | $2,115 | +$1,410 | +67% |
| Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | Nov 16 | $1,000 | +$286 | +29% |
| Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days? | Nov 15 | $2,000 | +$115 | +6% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +1.4% | -8.2% | 62% | 50% | -8.6% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +1.4% | -8.2% | 62% | 50% | -8.6% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +1.4% | -8.2% | 62% | 50% | -8.6% |
| all | 23 | +11.6% | +0.9% | 57% | 43% | -0.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +0.9% | 43% | -0.5% |
| 10% | -8.7% | 35% | -10.0% |
| 15% | -17.5% | 17% | -18.7% |
| 20% | -25.6% | 13% | -26.7% |