Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:25:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb5f2…4b1b
crypto · 144 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$16 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$16 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$44
Realized+$16
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses142 / 1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)143 / 144
History coverage183d
Avg bet$44
Trades / day0.8
Drawdown21%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 143 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $44 $44 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $44 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $44 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $44 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $44 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $44 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $44 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $43 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $43 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $43 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3? Jun 03 $43 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30? May 30 $43 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29? May 29 $43 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28? May 28 $43 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on May 27? May 27 $43 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 21? May 21 $43 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20? May 20 $43 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19? May 19 $43 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18? May 18 $43 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17? May 17 $43 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16? May 16 $43 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15? May 15 $43 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14? May 14 $43 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13? May 13 $43 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12? May 12 $42 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11? May 11 $42 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 10? May 10 $42 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on May 9? May 09 $42 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8? May 08 $42 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7? May 07 $42 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 6? May 06 $42 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 5? May 05 $42 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 4? May 05 $41 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 3? May 03 $41 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 2? May 02 $41 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 1? May 01 $40 $0 +0%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 mee May 01 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 29? May 01 $40 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 28? Apr 29 $41 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26? Apr 28 $41 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 24? Apr 26 $41 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C or higher on April 23 Apr 24 $40 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 22? Apr 23 $38 +$2 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 21? Apr 22 $38 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 20? Apr 21 $38 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17? Apr 20 $38 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 15? Apr 16 $39 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 14? Apr 15 $39 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 13? Apr 14 $39 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 12? Apr 13 $38 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 11? Apr 12 $38 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% +$12
weather 7% +$4
other 0% $0
world 0% $0
economics 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $44 55m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $44 23h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $44 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $44 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 9? BUY No 100¢ $44 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 8? BUY No 100¢ $44 5d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7? BUY No 100¢ $44 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6? BUY No 100¢ $43 7d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5? BUY No 100¢ $43 8d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 4? BUY No 100¢ $43 9d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3? BUY No 100¢ $43 10d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $43 14d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29? BUY No 100¢ $43 15d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28? BUY No 100¢ $43 16d
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on May 27? BUY No 100¢ $43 17d
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 21? BUY No 100¢ $43 23d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20? BUY Yes 100¢ $43 24d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19? BUY Yes 100¢ $43 25d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18? BUY No 100¢ $43 26d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17? BUY No 100¢ $43 27d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16? BUY Yes 100¢ $43 28d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15? BUY No 100¢ $43 29d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14? BUY No 100¢ $43 30d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $43 31d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12? BUY Yes 100¢ $42 32d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $42 33d
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 10? BUY No 99¢ $42 35d
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on May 9? BUY No 100¢ $42 35d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8? BUY No 100¢ $42 36d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7? BUY Yes 100¢ $42 37d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 21 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 67 +0.3% -9.2% 100% 0% -9.3%
all 143 +0.4% -9.1% 99% 1% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.1% 1% -9.3%
10% -17.8% 0% -18.0%
15% -25.8% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.0% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $43.98 · official $43.98 (match) · 290 history records