Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:59:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb5da…9c52
crypto · 302 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$55 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$54 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$54
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses133 / 163
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions5
Markets (closed)296 / 302
History coverage63d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day16.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 5 History 296 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$16
14 days−$1
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Trump say "Bond" in June? No 62¢ 37¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-40%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will MrBeast say "Lamborghini" during his next YouTube video? No 18¢ 18¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 49¢ 46¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-7%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 −$2 -59%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? Jun 12 $1 $0 -1%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +158%
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 09 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +52%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $1 −$1 -62%
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +0%
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Jun 09 $14 $0 +4%
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele Jun 09 $43 +$8 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 08 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 08 $3 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 -1%
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand P Jun 07 $1 $0 +44%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 07 $3 +$4 +116%
Will Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Monaco Jun 07 $1 $0 +10%
Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Monaco Jun 07 $1 −$1 -79%
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Jun 07 $1 −$1 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 07 $4 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 07 $2 −$1 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 06 $3 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 06 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 06 $1 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 65% −$39
politics 21% +$15
other 11% −$15
economics 2% −$9
world 1% −$6
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 26¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Down 7¢ $0 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-21.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 69 -26.0% -33.1% 42% 28% -16.8%
≤30d 118 -13.2% -21.4% 46% 36% -11.2%
≤90d 296 -13.2% -21.5% 45% 36% -15.5%
all 296 -13.2% -21.5% 45% 36% -15.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.5% 36% -15.5%
10% -29.0% 26% -23.6%
15% -35.8% 18% -30.9%
20% -42.1% 11% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.21 · official $7.21 · 1142 history records