Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:00:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb5d0…b461
crypto · 30 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$9 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$14 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Net worth$0
Realized−$14
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses10 / 20
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)30 / 30
History coverage59d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day1.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 0 History 30 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$8
14 days−$8
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 43¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 18¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 27¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 69¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -64%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -74%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -15%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +36%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -51%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +35%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +43%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -32%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$3 +44%
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca Jun 14 $5 $0 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $4 +$1 +17%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $5 −$2 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Brazil leading at halftime? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -89%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2 +$1 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Apr 16 $2 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Apr 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Apr 16 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-16? Apr 16 $6 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Apr 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Apr 16 $1 −$1 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Apr 16 $3 $0 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 71% −$13
other 18% −$2
sports 12% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down $0 1m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $1 2m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 5m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 13¢ $1 6m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 7m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 10m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $4 10m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Up $0 10m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 13m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 14m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 19m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $1 23m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 24m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 28m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 34m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $2 36m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 39m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $2 41m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 43m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $4 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Up 68¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Down 68¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-39.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -28.0% -34.8% 39% 30% -21.4%
≤30d 23 -28.0% -34.8% 39% 30% -21.4%
≤90d 30 -33.5% -39.8% 33% 27% -25.3%
all 30 -33.5% -39.8% 33% 27% -25.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -39.8% 27% -25.3%
10% -45.6% 20% -32.5%
15% -50.8% 17% -39.0%
20% -55.7% 7% -45.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 83 history records