Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:14:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb5c9…a4fc
sports · 604 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$464 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$223 · open −$687
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3,073
Realized+$223
Unrealized−$687
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses218 / 222
Est. fees paid−$35
Open positions172
Markets (closed)440 / 604
History coverage11d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day275.5
Drawdown45%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 172 History 440 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$122
7 days−$134
14 days+$223
30 days+$223
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 62¢ 100¢ $227 $365 +$138 (+61%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Under 60¢ 100¢ $127 $212 +$85 (+67%)
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Yes 29¢ 100¢ $45 $153 +$108 (+243%)
Canada leading at halftime? No 73¢ 100¢ $76 $104 +$28 (+37%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $114 $98 −$16 (-14%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $100 $98 −$2 (-2%)
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) Canada 88¢ 100¢ $84 $95 +$11 (+13%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 Under 74¢ 100¢ $64 $85 +$21 (+34%)
Spread: United States (-2.5) Paraguay 93¢ 92¢ $83 $82 −$0 (-1%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Under 73¢ 100¢ $52 $71 +$19 (+37%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? No 98¢ 98¢ $69 $69 −$0 (-0%)
Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime? Yes 41¢ 100¢ $26 $65 +$38 (+146%)
Spread: United States (-1.5) Paraguay 79¢ 78¢ $60 $59 −$0 (-0%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Over 68¢ 100¢ $38 $56 +$18 (+46%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? No 82¢ 81¢ $54 $53 −$0 (-1%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 9¢ 81¢ $6 $53 +$47 (+773%)
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Bosnia and Herzegovina 87¢ 100¢ $45 $51 +$7 (+15%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-2%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Under 79¢ 100¢ $37 $47 +$10 (+27%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under 44¢ 44¢ $38 $38 +$0 (+0%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Sho Shimabukuro 31¢ 54¢ $21 $38 +$16 (+77%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? No 97¢ 96¢ $36 $36 −$0 (-0%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5 Under 97¢ 100¢ $35 $36 +$1 (+3%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 93¢ 94¢ $32 $33 +$0 (+1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 46¢ $31 $31 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $58 −$42 -72%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $74 −$14 -19%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $110 +$53 +48%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $49 −$44 -89%
Will RCA Zemamra win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $15 +$4 +24%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $41 −$3 -8%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Will COD Meknès win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $8 +$2 +29%
Will Olympic Dcheira win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $4 +$10 +241%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $55 −$52 -94%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $31 −$11 -37%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 12 $14 +$6 +44%
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet Jun 12 $12 +$1 +10%
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $67 −$30 -45%
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur Jun 12 $15 +$8 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +47%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $17 −$1 -4%
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $6 −$1 -24%
Will Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 12 $5 +$2 +35%
Will Difaâ Hassani El Jadida win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $9 $0 +1%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria Jun 12 $3 +$2 +60%
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 12 $2 +$1 +42%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 −$5 -47%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 +$1 +49%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $4 +$2 +42%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1 +$1 +96%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 +$2 +55%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 −$2 -23%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $2 +$1 +58%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $4 +$2 +42%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $4 +$3 +80%
Spread: South Africa (-1.5) Jun 11 $9 −$1 -10%
Will Bolivia win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Bolivia vs. Algeria end in a draw? Jun 11 $2 −$1 -40%
Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $9 −$1 -8%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $7 −$2 -23%
Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw? Jun 10 $7 +$1 +17%
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Iceland win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $14 −$2 -11%
Will Argentina vs. Iceland end in a draw? Jun 10 $3 −$1 -26%
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 55% −$625
other 44% +$166
world 1% −$6
crypto 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 93¢ $2 0m
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY Paraguay 79¢ $2 0m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5 BUY Under 11¢ $2 0m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 44¢ $5 1m
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 0.5 BUY Over 97¢ $1 1m
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 0.5 BUY Over 99¢ $1 1m
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 93¢ $1 2m
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 0.5 BUY Over 97¢ $1 2m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 42¢ $5 2m
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 93¢ $1 2m
France vs. Iraq: France O/U 0.5 BUY Over 99¢ $2 3m
France vs. Iraq: France O/U 0.5 BUY Over 94¢ $1 3m
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 93¢ $3 3m
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY Paraguay 79¢ $2 3m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 45¢ $5 4m
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 93¢ $2 4m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 34¢ $2 4m
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 93¢ $2 4m
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 76¢ $3 5m
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY Paraguay 79¢ $3 5m
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 78¢ $3 5m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 25¢ $1 6m
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 93¢ $2 7m
Spread: Paraguay (-2.5) BUY United States 98¢ $2 7m
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY Paraguay 79¢ $5 7m
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 78¢ $3 8m
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 93¢ $1 8m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 42¢ $5 8m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5 BUY Under 20¢ $2 8m
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY Paraguay 78¢ $5 8m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-13.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 281 -10.9% -19.4% 51% 40% -17.7%
≤30d 440 -4.1% -13.2% 50% 40% -0.5%
≤90d 440 -4.1% -13.2% 50% 40% -0.5%
all 440 -4.1% -13.2% 50% 40% -0.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover275.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.2% 40% -0.5%
10% ← realistic here -21.5% 32% -10.0%
15% -29.1% 28% -18.7%
20% -36.0% 21% -26.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,073.06 · official $3,073.11 (match) · 3500 history records