Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:38:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb5c6…30b5
sports · 18 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
+$98 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$98 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$22
Realized+$98
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses9 / 8
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions1
Markets (closed)17 / 18
History coverage2d
Avg bet$57
Trades / day23.1
Drawdown66%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 1 History 17 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$98
7 days+$98
14 days+$98
30 days+$98
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 69¢ 68¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 22¢ 32¢ $2 $2 +$1 (+43%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 31¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 B8 27¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 75¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $10 +$12 +116%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $6 +$5 +77%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $17 +$9 +55%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $3 +$7 +216%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 13 $7 $0 -6%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $45 −$39 -86%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$1 +12%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $25 −$10 -41%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $27 −$26 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $49 +$31 +63%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 +$5 +234%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $734 +$158 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$98
other 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 42¢ $3 0m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 69¢ $20 3m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 99¢ $19 20m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 99¢ $11 23m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 16¢ $3 32m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 26¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 26¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 55¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Falcons 99¢ $26 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 60¢ $10 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Monte 21¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 22¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $7 2h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner SELL B8 100¢ $10 2h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 27¢ $4 8h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 31¢ $3 8h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $7 11h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $6 12h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 35¢ $6 12h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 100¢ $0 18h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $7 18h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 51¢ $6 19h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 47¢ $6 19h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 75¢ $24 19h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 75¢ $15 19h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL 9z 99¢ $11 20h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 44¢ $10 20h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 31¢ $27 20h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 88¢ $10 20h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 99¢ $81 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-4.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 +5.2% -4.8% 53% 47% -0.4%
≤30d 17 +5.2% -4.8% 53% 47% -0.4%
≤90d 17 +5.2% -4.8% 53% 47% -0.4%
all 17 +5.2% -4.8% 53% 47% -0.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.8% 47% -0.4%
10% ← realistic here -13.9% 35% -9.9%
15% -22.2% 35% -18.6%
20% -29.9% 35% -26.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $22.11 · official $22.11 (match) · 45 history records