Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:02:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb5bb…5ebc
crypto · 1646 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$67 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$93 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$93
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses971 / 674
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1645 / 1646
History coverage96d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day24.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1645 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$37
7 days−$36
14 days−$70
30 days−$70
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 88¢ 78¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$3 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$93
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $4 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $4 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1554 -1.9% -11.2% 60% 52% -10.1%
≤30d 1593 -4.3% -13.4% 59% 51% -10.6%
≤90d 1593 -4.3% -13.4% 59% 51% -10.6%
all 1645 -4.3% -13.4% 59% 50% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.4% 50% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -21.7% 38% -19.4%
15% -29.3% 26% -27.2%
20% -36.2% 16% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.10 · official $3.88 (match) · 3500 history records