Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:22:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb5b5…ba4b
other · 60 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$216 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$188 · open −$38
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$380
Realized−$188
Unrealized−$38
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses14 / 35
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions11
Markets (closed)49 / 60
History coverage182d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day0.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit57%
Chart Positions 11 History 49 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$17
7 days+$23
14 days−$76
30 days−$76
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $87 $90 +$3 (+4%)
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $101 $86 −$15 (-15%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $73 $68 −$4 (-6%)
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $39 $29 −$10 (-25%)
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? Yes 19¢ 18¢ $23 $23 −$1 (-3%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+2%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+0%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $20 $18 −$2 (-11%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 7¢ $19 $16 −$3 (-18%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-6%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-98%)
Panthers vs. Lightning Lightning 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Blues vs. Panthers Panthers 62¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Chiefs vs. Titans Chiefs 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on December 16? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Paraguay to score first vs. United States? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Suns vs. Warriors Suns 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on December 15? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 15? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 15? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 22? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $10 +$12 +113%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $91 −$38 -42%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $36 +$45 +125%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $10 −$3 -34%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $90 +$41 +45%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Paraguay to score first vs. United States? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $6 +$11 +178%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $26 $0 -2%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $111 +$36 +33%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 05 $100 −$99 -99%
Mavericks vs. Pelicans Dec 22 $46 −$46 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 2 Dec 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 2 Dec 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 2 Dec 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Steelers vs. Lions Dec 21 $43 +$18 +42%
Chiefs vs. Titans Dec 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Magic vs. Jazz Dec 21 $5 +$5 +92%
Suns vs. Warriors Dec 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Canucks vs. Bruins Dec 21 $5 +$4 +81%
Blues vs. Panthers Dec 20 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua? Dec 19 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? Dec 19 $14 +$6 +46%
Rams vs. Seahawks Dec 19 $13 +$4 +34%
Brown University shooter arrested by December 19? Dec 19 $10 −$10 -98%
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,900 on December 16? Dec 16 $36 −$36 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 16 Dec 16 $20 +$4 +20%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on December 16 Dec 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Mavericks vs. Jazz Dec 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Panthers vs. Lightning Dec 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on December 16 Dec 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on December 16 Dec 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on December 15 Dec 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 1 Dec 15 $10 +$77 +775%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 15? Dec 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Vikings vs. Cowboys Dec 15 $5 $0 -10%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on December 15 Dec 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 1 Dec 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Packers vs. Broncos Dec 15 $5 +$4 +81%
Colts vs. Seahawks Dec 14 $10 +$26 +258%
Raiders vs. Eagles Dec 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Browns vs. Bears Dec 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Jets vs. Jaguars Dec 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 63% −$20
sports 26% −$201
crypto 10% −$11
politics 1% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $10 1m
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $10 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 26¢ $9 1h
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 19¢ $4 6h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $20 6h
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? SELL Yes 18¢ $9 7h
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 19¢ $30 7h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $4 7h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 14h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 40¢ $22 15h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 18¢ $10 16h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $21 17h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $9 18h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $14 19h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 16¢ $10 20h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 26¢ $19 20h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 45¢ $34 21h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 40¢ $81 21h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $15 23h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 25h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $5 26h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $24 27h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $15 27h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $3 30h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $8 30h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $51 30h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $21 30h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? SELL Yes 10¢ $7 42h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 43h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 72¢ $131 43h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-32.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 -24.0% -31.3% 31% 31% -4.9%
≤30d 17 -28.5% -35.3% 29% 29% -22.2%
≤90d 17 -28.5% -35.3% 29% 29% -22.2%
all 49 -25.7% -32.8% 29% 29% -27.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -32.8% 29% -27.7%
10% -39.2% 27% -34.6%
15% -45.1% 22% -41.0%
20% -50.5% 16% -46.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $379.62 · official $379.73 (match) · 134 history records