Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:38:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb5b5…c9c6
crypto · 48 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$20 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$27 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized+$27
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses27 / 20
Open positions1
Markets (closed)47 / 48
History coverage1d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day189.0
Drawdown31%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 47 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$27
7 days+$27
14 days+$27
30 days+$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 44¢ 94¢ $6 $13 +$7 (+115%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 52¢ 6¢ $7 $1 −$7 (-89%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$6 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$6 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $55 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $46 −$3 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$5 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $58 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $14 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $28 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $14 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $36 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $28 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $14 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $14 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $73 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $83 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $42 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $27 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $35 +$6 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$1 -9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $6 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $8 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $7 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $7 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $8 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $8 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $6 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $8 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $7 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $7 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $8 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $8 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $7 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $7 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $8 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $6 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $7 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $7 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $7 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $7 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $7 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $7 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $7 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $8 48m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-8.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 +1.5% -8.1% 57% 21% -7.6%
≤30d 47 +1.5% -8.1% 57% 21% -7.6%
≤90d 47 +1.5% -8.1% 57% 21% -7.6%
all 47 +1.5% -8.1% 57% 21% -7.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover189.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.1% 21% -7.6%
10% ← realistic here -16.9% 9% -16.5%
15% -24.9% 2% -24.6%
20% -32.3% 0% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.00 · official $14.00 (match) · 235 history records