Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:16:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb5a2…1f0b
other · 18 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$12 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$14 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$58
Realized+$14
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)17%
Wins / losses2 / 10
Open positions6
Markets (closed)12 / 18
History coverage2d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day7.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 6 History 12 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$44
7 days+$14
14 days+$14
30 days+$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? Yes 6¢ 7¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+18%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-8%)
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? Yes 12¢ 11¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-8%)
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 1 Scotland? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-9%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? Yes 10¢ 8¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-15%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 2 Czechia? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Czechia? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 +$31 +596%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $10 +$49 +474%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 2 Czechia? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Czechia? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% +$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 11¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 12¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 5¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 6¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 10¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 18¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? BUY Yes 8¢ $5 27h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 13¢ $5 27h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 14¢ $5 27h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 15¢ $5 27h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 5¢ $5 27h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 14¢ $5 27h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 3¢ $5 27h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 27h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 2 Czechia? BUY Yes 9¢ $10 2d
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 12¢ $10 2d
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? BUY Yes 17¢ $10 2d
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? BUY Yes 19¢ $10 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-4.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +5.9% -4.2% 17% 17% +6.4%
≤30d 12 +5.9% -4.2% 17% 17% +6.4%
≤90d 12 +5.9% -4.2% 17% 17% +6.4%
all 12 +5.9% -4.2% 17% 17% +6.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.2% 17% +6.4%
10% -13.4% 17% -3.8%
15% -21.8% 17% -13.1%
20% -29.4% 17% -21.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $57.53 · official $57.54 (match) · 20 history records