Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:55:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb593…9039
crypto · 511 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$232 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$233 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$233
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses330 / 180
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)510 / 511
History coverage69d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day11.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 1 History 510 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13
7 days−$122
14 days−$123
30 days−$196
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 41¢ 44¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Epstein" this week? Yes 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Meta (META) Up or Down on April 29? Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will JD Vance say "Tariff" in Des Moines? No 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-02? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-05-02? No 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$3 +456%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$3 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +140%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +79%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $1 $0 -6%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $1 $0 -7%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $1 $0 -4%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 11 $8 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 09 $290 −$281 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 09 $229 +$149 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 08 $3 +$2 +73%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% −$181
other 8% −$21
sports 3% −$21
world 1% $0
politics 1% −$7
finance 0% −$2
tech 0% $0
economics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-13.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 51 +22.3% +10.6% 57% 55% -26.8%
≤30d 163 +0.7% -8.9% 54% 44% -28.3%
≤90d 510 -4.1% -13.2% 65% 40% -21.5%
all 510 -4.1% -13.2% 65% 40% -21.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.2% 40% -21.5%
10% -21.5% 21% -29.0%
15% -29.1% 18% -35.8%
20% -36.1% 15% -42.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.67 · official $1.11 · 1133 history records