Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T05:45:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
B5 0xb586…c125 crypto 1414 markets active 0h ago coverage 45d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 44d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$780 (+6%) realized +$780 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR61%break-even
Win rate69%974W / 440L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day44.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$72
7 days+$461
14 days+$576
30 days+$603
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$495
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 210 -3.6% -12.8% 67% 49% +0.8%
≤30d 266 +3.1% -6.7% 72% 55% +2.8%
≤90d 1414 -1.3% -10.7% 69% 61% -6.0%
all 1414 -1.3% -10.7% 69% 61% -6.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover44.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 61% -6.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 46% -15.0%
15% -27.1% 35% -23.2%
20% -34.2% 27% -30.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt +4% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late -6% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$8 · ×0.52 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.14 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

45d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$780
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses974 / 440
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1414 / 1414
History coverage45d ⚠
Avg bet$9
Trades / day44.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1414 Trades
no open positions (24 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 25 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 25 $33 +$11 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 24 $34 +$26 +78%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 24 $37 +$31 +84%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 24 $6 +$7 +105%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 24 $7 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 24 $7 +$5 +76%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 24 $13 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 24 $7 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 24 $7 +$4 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 24 $14 −$13 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 24 $33 +$6 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 24 $39 +$7 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 24 $7 +$4 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 24 $7 −$6 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 24 $33 −$32 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 24 $7 +$5 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 24 $8 +$7 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 24 $98 +$56 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 24 $46 +$13 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 24 $39 +$7 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 23 $26 +$23 +89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 23 $7 +$5 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 23 $7 +$3 +50%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 23 $13 −$13 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 23 $7 +$4 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 23 $9 +$1 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 23 $20 −$19 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 23 $13 −$13 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 23 $52 +$3 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 23 $17 +$24 +136%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 23 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 23 $7 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 23 $7 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 23 $7 +$1 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 23 $7 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 23 $7 −$6 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 23 $7 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 23 $52 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 23 $52 +$2 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 23 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 23 $52 +$4 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 23 $26 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 23 $7 −$6 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 23 $53 −$52 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 23 $7 +$3 +40%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 23 $53 −$26 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 23 $52 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 23 $105 +$19 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 23 $7 +$2 +31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $33 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $17 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $17 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $22 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $16 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $6 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $7 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $7 15h
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $7 17h
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $7 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $7 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $7 22h
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $7 23h
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $7 23h
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $33 23h
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $33 23h
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $7 23h
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $7 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $7 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $12 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $18 24h
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $7 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $8 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $7 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $7 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $7 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $7 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $7 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records