Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:01:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb57e…ffe8
crypto · 9 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$29 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$30 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$470
Realized+$30
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1 / 0
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions8
Markets (closed)1 / 9
History coverage1d
Avg bet$62
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 8 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$30
7 days+$30
14 days+$30
30 days+$30
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? No 53¢ 54¢ $200 $202 +$2 (+1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score No 71¢ 70¢ $104 $103 −$1 (-1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $100 $98 −$2 (-2%)
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Curaçao? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-5%)
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao? Yes 16¢ 14¢ $20 $18 −$2 (-9%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 1 Japan? Yes 9¢ 10¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+6%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 2 Japan? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Japan? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-6%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $75 +$30 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 42% +$2
sports 32% +$29
other 26% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao? BUY Yes 16¢ $21 1h
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Curaçao? BUY Yes 10¢ $21 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 2 Japan? BUY Yes 4¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 1 Japan? BUY Yes 9¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Japan? BUY Yes 9¢ $10 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 53¢ $204 2h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $103 2h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score BUY No 71¢ $105 2h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? SELL No 100¢ $105 10h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $75 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+26.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +40.0% +26.7% 100% 100% +26.7%
≤30d 1 +40.0% +26.7% 100% 100% +26.7%
≤90d 1 +40.0% +26.7% 100% 100% +26.7%
all 1 +40.0% +26.7% 100% 100% +26.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +26.7% 100% +26.7%
10% +14.6% 100% +14.6%
15% +3.5% 100% +3.5%
20% -6.6% 0% -6.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $469.83 · official $469.85 (match) · 10 history records