Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T11:02:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb57d…07bf
sports · 689 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$7,621 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7,958 · open −$105
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$203
Realized−$7,958
Unrealized−$105
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses247 / 439
Whale WR (big bets)42%
Est. fees paid−$4,490
Open positions3
Markets (closed)686 / 689
History coverage41d
Avg bet$323
Trades / day32.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 3 History 686 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14,906
7 days−$6,484
14 days−$1,092
30 days−$5,651
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 30¢ 46¢ $130 $203 +$73 (+56%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI KT Rolster 4¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-99%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner KT Rolster 34¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winner Winthrop University 45¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winner Team Heretics 30¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 41¢ 0¢ $135 $0 −$135 (-100%)
LoL: GIANTX iTero vs FALKE Esports - Game 2 Winner FALKE Esports 22¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs NRG 23¢ 0¢ $243 $0 −$243 (-100%)
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winner Oh My God 13¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner Team Heretics 42¢ 0¢ $224 $0 −$224 (-100%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner 100 Thieves 20¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs INTZ e-Sports - Game 4 Winner paiN Gaming Academy 36¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries Phoenix Mercury 18¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
LoL: GIANTX vs Solary - Game 2 Winner Solary 2¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs Eternal Fire 20¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Astralis 48¢ 0¢ $490 $0 −$490 (-100%)
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs LOS 30¢ 0¢ $690 $0 −$690 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A MOUZ 28¢ 0¢ $195 $0 −$195 (-100%)
Valorant: Team Liquid Academy vs Barça eSports - Map 2 Winner Barça eSports 15¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner NRG 33¢ 0¢ $395 $0 −$395 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 19¢ 0¢ $490 $0 −$490 (-100%)
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner DN SOOPers 6¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
LoL: Barça eSports vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 2 Winner Barça eSports 11¢ 0¢ $202 $0 −$202 (-100%)
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winner Team Heretics 50¢ 0¢ $103 $0 −$103 (-100%)
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs LOUD 32¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $716 +$2,306 +322%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $164 +$670 +408%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $142 +$22 +15%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $311 +$624 +200%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $111 −$108 -98%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty Le Jun 12 $151 −$150 -99%
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ Jun 12 $58 −$56 -98%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $71 −$3 -5%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$46 +152%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $103 −$76 -74%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $462 −$53 -12%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 12 $92 +$54 +58%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $205 −$112 -55%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $284 −$279 -98%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $280 −$274 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $228 −$224 -98%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,590 −$813 -51%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $962 −$223 -23%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $1,004 −$980 -98%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $978 −$960 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2,036 −$2,000 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $3,063 −$3,000 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3,055 −$1,937 -63%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2,038 −$2,003 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,044 −$2,000 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,001 −$980 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $4,904 −$4,800 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $1,000 −$977 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $266 +$722 +272%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2,404 +$3,807 +158%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $982 −$958 -98%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $590 −$459 -78%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 11 $205 −$200 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $885 −$863 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2,456 −$820 -33%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $989 +$445 +45%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1,363 +$1,824 +134%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $2,532 +$1,849 +73%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,520 −$1,504 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $498 +$536 +108%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $1,011 −$990 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,207 −$452 -37%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,291 −$1,270 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $314 +$248 +79%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $304 −$300 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $2,879 +$7,759 +270%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $509 −$448 -88%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $877 +$2,269 +259%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% −$11,044
other 2% +$3,560
politics 1% −$451
crypto 0% −$128
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Team WE 99¢ $1,665 7m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Team WE 91¢ $1,357 10m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 22¢ $716 39m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 30¢ $133 45m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team WE 99¢ $833 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner SELL TheMongolz 74¢ $4 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 19¢ $164 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner SELL TheMongolz 59¢ $160 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 50¢ $142 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 34¢ $153 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 4¢ $29 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL KT Rolster 34¢ $1,325 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 23¢ $931 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 80¢ $935 4h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 17¢ $167 4h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 66¢ $145 4h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $111 12h
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty Le BUY Paris Gentle Mates 71¢ $151 13h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY Donstu Esports 17¢ $58 14h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Kamilla Rakhimova 18¢ $67 14h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 18¢ $71 14h
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson BUY Kaitlin Quevedo 10¢ $6 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $30 15h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Aurora Gaming 3¢ $26 15h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 11¢ $103 15h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 52¢ $102 15h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 50¢ $102 15h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 22¢ $102 15h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 29¢ $143 16h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D SELL Anubis Gaming 54¢ $145 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 137 -8.9% -17.6% 34% 33% -13.6%
≤30d 614 -2.8% -12.0% 36% 35% -12.1%
≤90d 686 -5.1% -14.1% 36% 34% -12.9%
all 686 -5.1% -14.1% 36% 34% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.1% 34% -12.9%
10% ← realistic here -22.3% 33% -21.2%
15% -29.8% 32% -28.8%
20% -36.7% 28% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $203.23 · official $203.24 (match) · 1379 history records