Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb57a…dc32
crypto · 1097 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$102 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$101 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized−$101
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses456 / 640
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1096 / 1097
History coverage3d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day520.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1096 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$48
7 days−$101
14 days−$101
30 days−$101
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 53¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+89%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 49¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+104%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 50¢ 26¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-47%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +166%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +110%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$102
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-4.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1096 +5.3% -4.7% 42% 40% -11.5%
≤30d 1096 +5.3% -4.7% 42% 40% -11.5%
≤90d 1096 +5.3% -4.7% 42% 40% -11.5%
all 1096 +5.3% -4.7% 42% 40% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover520.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.7% 40% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -13.8% 39% -20.0%
15% -22.2% 37% -27.7%
20% -29.8% 35% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.32 · official $12.57 · 2452 history records