Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T09:57:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B5 0xb575…bfd5 crypto 72 markets active 2d ago coverage 12d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$3 (-0%) realized −$3 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate49%35W / 37L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$13per market
Trades / day30.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$66
7 days−$29
14 days−$38
30 days−$38
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$38
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-18.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 56 -4.2% -13.3% 50% 41% -11.4%
≤30d 72 -10.2% -18.7% 49% 42% -11.9%
≤90d 72 -10.2% -18.7% 49% 42% -11.9%
all 72 -10.2% -18.7% 49% 42% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover30.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.7% 42% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -26.5% 31% -20.3%
15% -33.6% 25% -28.0%
20% -40.1% 21% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 25% · top 2 36% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
14% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late -12% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$8 · ×0.92 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.87 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

12d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses35 / 37
Open positions0
Markets (closed)72 / 72
History coverage12d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day30.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 72 Trades
no open positions (18 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$4 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$4 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$5 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$9 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$7 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$9 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$10 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$9 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$8 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $23 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$6 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$9 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$24 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$27 +191%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $11 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $11 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $3 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $4 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $7 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $10 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $15 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $10 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $10 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $10 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $1 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 39h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 391 history records