Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:42:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb572…283f
sports · 7 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$23 -39%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$19
Realized−$11
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 3
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions4
Markets (closed)3 / 7
History coverage1d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day15.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 4 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$11
14 days−$11
30 days−$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes $5 $4 −$0 (-10%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 39¢ 40¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+3%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner KT Rolster 23¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 47¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -17%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $6 −$5 -87%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 48% −$10
other 34% −$1
crypto 18% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-71.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -68.1% -71.1% 0% 0% -71.6%
≤30d 3 -68.1% -71.1% 0% 0% -71.6%
≤90d 3 -68.1% -71.1% 0% 0% -71.6%
all 3 -68.1% -71.1% 0% 0% -71.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -71.1% 0% -71.6%
10% -73.9% 0% -74.3%
15% -76.4% 0% -76.8%
20% -78.7% 0% -79.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.46 · official $19.40 (match) · 15 history records