Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:30:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb56d…8041
crypto · 1037 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,615 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,614 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$1,614
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses708 / 326
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1034 / 1037
History coverage138d
Avg bet$66
Trades / day20.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 1034 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$59
7 days+$59
14 days−$336
30 days−$645
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? Yes 59¢ 62¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+4%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Yes 70¢ 70¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 32¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-40%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $78 $0 −$78 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $186 $0 −$186 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$7 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$5 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $62 +$12 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $44 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $43 +$11 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 10 $88 +$36 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET May 31 $192 −$186 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET May 31 $71 −$70 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET May 31 $156 +$78 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET May 31 $143 −$108 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET May 31 $82 −$78 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET May 31 $95 −$10 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET May 31 $15 −$9 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET May 31 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET May 31 $21 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET May 31 $3 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET May 31 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET May 31 $9 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET May 31 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET May 30 $30 +$8 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET May 30 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET May 30 $28 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET May 30 $31 −$2 -6%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Falcons PH vs ONIC PH (BO5) - MPL Phili May 28 $6 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET May 28 $15 +$4 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET May 28 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET May 28 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET May 27 $9 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET May 27 $11 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET May 27 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET May 27 $13 +$5 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET May 27 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET May 27 $13 −$11 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET May 27 $19 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET May 27 $19 +$4 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET May 27 $45 +$27 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET May 27 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET May 27 $30 +$5 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET May 27 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET May 27 $38 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET May 27 $93 −$68 -73%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,623
sports 0% +$9
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $73 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $20 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 +4.1% -5.8% 71% 57% +7.8%
≤30d 100 -11.0% -19.5% 66% 43% -23.4%
≤90d 700 -6.2% -15.1% 66% 47% -12.7%
all 1034 -4.8% -13.8% 68% 47% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.8% 47% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -22.1% 31% -20.1%
15% -29.6% 20% -27.8%
20% -36.5% 7% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.70 · official $4.70 (match) · 3177 history records