Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:15:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb55f…64d4
crypto · 169 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,256 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,968 · open −$712
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$6,512
Realized+$2,968
Unrealized−$712
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses106 / 149
Whale WR (big bets)47%
Open positions16
Markets (closed)255 / 169
Avg bet$291
Trades / day3358.0
Drawdown27%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 16 History 255 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,968
7 days+$2,968
14 days+$2,968
30 days+$2,968
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 94¢ 100¢ $3,726 $3,963 +$237 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Up 75¢ 86¢ $860 $994 +$134 (+16%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Up 73¢ 84¢ $482 $550 +$68 (+14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Up 53¢ 46¢ $318 $280 −$38 (-12%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 76¢ 100¢ $166 $216 +$51 (+31%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Up 66¢ 88¢ $134 $178 +$44 (+33%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Up 64¢ 83¢ $83 $107 +$24 (+30%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Down 54¢ 50¢ $68 $63 −$5 (-7%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Up 58¢ 50¢ $51 $44 −$7 (-14%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Up 48¢ 46¢ $36 $34 −$1 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Down 14¢ 14¢ $29 $27 −$1 (-5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $620 $21 −$599 (-97%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Down 0¢ 16¢ $0 $9 +$9 (+0%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Down 9¢ 12¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+33%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Up 56¢ 50¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-10%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Down 71¢ 50¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-29%)
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 93¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+8%)
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 8AM ET Down 71¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+41%)
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 64¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+56%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $96 $1 −$95 (-99%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 66¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+52%)
Bitcoin above 75,200 on May 30, 7PM ET? No 95¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Bitcoin above 78,600 on May 18, 6PM ET? No 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 86¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+16%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Down 65¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+54%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 8AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +41%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +52%
Bitcoin above 75,200 on May 30, 7PM ET? Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin above 78,600 on May 18, 6PM ET? Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +54%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +39%
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +212%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +61%
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +56%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 11, 5PM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 11, 8PM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET Jun 12 $191 −$191 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $241 −$241 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,800 on June 12, 12AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 11, 9PM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $81 −$81 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,800 on June 12, 3AM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 11, 9PM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin above 64,000 on June 11, 9PM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum above 1,680 on June 11, 10PM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 11, 9PM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,800 on June 11, 5PM ET? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum above 1,680 on June 11, 11PM ET? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum above 1,670 on June 12, 12AM ET? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$3,295
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $6 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $32 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $16 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $18 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $38 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $0 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $35 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $260 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $9 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $436 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $23 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $64 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 1m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-34.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 255 -27.1% -34.0% 42% 30% -3.4%
≤30d 255 -27.1% -34.0% 42% 30% -3.4%
≤90d 255 -27.1% -34.0% 42% 30% -3.4%
all 255 -27.1% -34.0% 42% 30% -3.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3358.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -34.0% 30% -3.4%
10% ← realistic here -40.4% 20% -12.6%
15% -46.1% 14% -21.0%
20% -51.4% 10% -28.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6,512.09 · official $6,495.04 (match) · 3500 history records