Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T08:48:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
B5 0xb555…c8c1 crypto 368 markets active 0h ago coverage 128d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$2,471 (+4%) realized +$2,471 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR49%break-even
Win rate53%195W / 173L
Whale WR70%big bets
Drawdown80%max
Avg bet$161per market
Trades / day5.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$214
7 days+$214
14 days+$214
30 days+$214
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1,611
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 +2.3% -7.4% 55% 52% +24.6%
≤30d 33 +2.3% -7.4% 55% 52% +24.6%
≤90d 33 +2.3% -7.4% 55% 52% +24.6%
all 368 -3.5% -12.6% 53% 49% -6.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover5.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.6% 49% -6.2%
10% -21.0% 46% -15.2%
15% -28.6% 45% -23.4%
20% -35.6% 42% -30.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +37% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt +3% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 70% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -1% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$77 vs −$78 · ×0.99 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.12 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

128d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,471
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses195 / 173
Whale WR (big bets)70%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)368 / 368
History coverage128d
Avg bet$161
Trades / day5.3
Drawdown80%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 368 Trades
no open positions (151 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 28 $10 +$9 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 28 $62 +$55 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 28 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 28 $26 −$25 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 28 $31 +$3 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 28 $16 +$31 +196%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 28 $15 +$13 +84%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 28 $5 +$4 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 28 $16 +$13 +86%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 28 $83 +$76 +91%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 28 $52 +$40 +78%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 28 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 28 $7 −$6 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 28 $15 +$13 +84%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 28 $15 +$13 +82%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 28 $41 +$35 +85%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 28 $5 $0 -9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 28 $31 −$22 -69%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 28 $10 +$9 +84%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 28 $15 +$13 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 28 $15 +$6 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 28 $35 +$5 +15%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 28 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 28 $5 +$6 +124%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Feb 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Feb 26 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Feb 26 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Feb 26 $768 +$23 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Feb 26 $809 −$420 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Feb 26 $200 +$168 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Feb 26 $861 −$372 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Feb 26 $996 −$90 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Feb 26 $50 +$47 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Feb 26 $761 −$100 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Feb 26 $772 +$132 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Feb 26 $940 −$168 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Feb 26 $786 −$29 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Feb 26 $160 +$148 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Feb 26 $150 +$140 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Feb 26 $70 −$69 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Feb 26 $150 +$130 +87%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $62 11m
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $26 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $11 15m
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $34 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $15 43m
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 43m
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 44m
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 44m
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 44m
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 44m
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $159 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $36 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $36 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $15 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $36 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $15 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 864 history records