Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:54:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb555…4d89
crypto · 65 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$75 +24%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$74 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$47
Realized+$74
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)17%
Wins / losses10 / 48
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions7
Markets (closed)58 / 65
History coverage15d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day10.9
Drawdown89%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 7 History 58 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$66
7 days+$44
14 days+$121
30 days+$74
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 58¢ 57¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score No 63¢ 62¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+9%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $1 $1 +$0 (+21%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $1 $1 +$0 (+22%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $1 $1 −$0 (-7%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 4? Yes 13¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 4? Yes $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 3? Yes $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on June 1? Yes $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 4? Yes $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 9? Yes $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 5? Yes $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 32¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6? Yes $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6? No 13¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 11? Yes 13¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 11? Yes 13¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 5? No 15¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 6? No $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 1? Yes $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 4? Yes $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4? Yes $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $20 +$27 +132%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $10 +$4 +42%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $25 +$40 +158%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $12 −$1 -7%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $10 −$1 -6%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +44%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 11? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 8? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,500 on June 8? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 11? Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 9? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 8? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8? Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $2 −$2 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $17 −$9 -54%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $2 −$2 -90%
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on June 6? Jun 05 $0 $0 +894%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 4? Jun 05 $8 −$7 -89%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 4? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -94%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 4? Jun 05 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $1 −$1 -56%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 04 $1 $0 -20%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 04 $2 −$1 -52%
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 3? Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3? Jun 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 3? Jun 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 3? Jun 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 4? Jun 04 $1 −$1 -99%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $2 −$2 -96%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 4? Jun 03 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 3? Jun 03 $2 −$2 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $2 +$72 +3522%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $5 +$35 +689%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 1? Jun 01 $5 −$4 -72%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 1? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on June 1? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -93%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 1? Jun 01 $5 +$20 +376%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET May 29 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET May 29 $3 −$1 -34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 55% +$10
sports 28% +$25
other 17% +$40
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 63¢ $20 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 58¢ $21 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 99¢ $47 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 42¢ $10 23h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 42¢ $10 23h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $10 23h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $66 23h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $10 26h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $10 26h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 51¢ $5 26h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $5 26h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 31¢ $5 26h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 42¢ $10 26h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 43¢ $10 27h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 52¢ $10 27h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 32¢ $5 27h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $5 40h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 40h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $5 40h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 33¢ $6 40h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 34¢ $7 46h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 11? BUY Yes 13¢ $5 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 13¢ $5 2d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $1 3d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 9? BUY Yes $0 3d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 9? BUY Yes $0 3d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 9? BUY Yes $0 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 9? BUY No $1 4d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 8? BUY Yes $0 4d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 8? BUY Yes $1 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-6.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -49.3% -54.1% 21% 21% +26.5%
≤30d 58 +3.7% -6.2% 17% 17% +9.7%
≤90d 58 +3.7% -6.2% 17% 17% +9.7%
all 58 +3.7% -6.2% 17% 17% +9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.2% 17% +9.7%
10% -15.1% 17% -0.8%
15% -23.3% 17% -10.4%
20% -30.9% 14% -19.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $47.12 · official $47.12 (match) · 182 history records