Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:59:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb53e…a73a
crypto · 231 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,132 -26%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,762 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized−$5,762
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses165 / 110
Open positions1
Markets (closed)275 / 231
History coverage3d
Avg bet$84
Trades / day1266.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 275 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,711
7 days−$5,762
14 days−$5,762
30 days−$5,762
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 81¢ 90¢ $13 $14 +$2 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $139 $0 −$139 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $119 $0 −$119 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $144 $0 −$144 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $158 $0 −$158 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $199 $0 −$199 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $178 $0 −$178 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $107 $0 −$107 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $119 −$119 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $89 −$89 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $158 −$158 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $199 −$199 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $178 −$178 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $107 −$107 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $125 −$125 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $197 −$197 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $321 −$321 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $158 −$158 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $391 −$391 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $135 −$135 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $179 −$179 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $83 −$83 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $107 −$107 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $174 −$174 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $246 −$246 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $199 −$199 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $67 −$67 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $121 −$121 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $267 −$267 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $206 −$206 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $98 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $44 −$23 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $65 −$19 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,076
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $36 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $35 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $16 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $16 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $23 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $23 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 32m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-20.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 275 -11.8% -20.2% 60% 57% -31.3%
≤30d 275 -11.8% -20.2% 60% 57% -31.3%
≤90d 275 -11.8% -20.2% 60% 57% -31.3%
all 275 -11.8% -20.2% 60% 57% -31.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1266.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.2% 57% -31.3%
10% ← realistic here -27.8% 45% -37.9%
15% -34.8% 22% -43.9%
20% -41.2% 11% -49.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.42 · official $14.58 (match) · 3500 history records