Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:41:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb53b…a618
crypto · 54 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$9 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses30 / 24
Open positions0
Markets (closed)54 / 54
History coverage4d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day18.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 54 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$9
14 days−$9
30 days−$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +52%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-23.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 54 -15.5% -23.6% 56% 44% -23.1%
≤30d 54 -15.5% -23.6% 56% 44% -23.1%
≤90d 54 -15.5% -23.6% 56% 44% -23.1%
all 54 -15.5% -23.6% 56% 44% -23.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.6% 44% -23.1%
10% -30.9% 33% -30.5%
15% -37.6% 22% -37.2%
20% -43.7% 15% -43.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 99 history records