Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:13:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb534…06a6
crypto · 159 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
−$571 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$563 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$186
Realized−$563
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses71 / 87
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Est. fees paid−$32
Open positions1
Markets (closed)158 / 159
History coverage190d
Avg bet$110
Trades / day1.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit70%
Chart Positions 1 History 158 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,598
7 days−$1,404
14 days−$759
30 days−$521
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 60¢ $193 $186 −$8 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $308 $0 −$308 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-30? Yes 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-01? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $154 $0 −$154 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8? No 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01? Yes 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Mali win on 2025-12-29? Yes 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18? Yes 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $143 +$53 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $210 −$151 -72%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $674 −$380 -56%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $389 +$123 +32%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $154 +$8 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2,233 −$2,220 -99%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $812 +$923 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $203 −$200 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $850 +$168 +20%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $768 +$82 +11%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $543 +$225 +41%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $205 −$11 -6%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $205 −$17 -8%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $103 +$4 +4%
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $61 −$6 -10%
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5 Jun 04 $201 +$5 +3%
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5 Jun 04 $51 +$55 +109%
Will Spain vs. Iraq end in a draw? Jun 04 $175 +$177 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 04 $597 −$71 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 04 $53 −$50 -94%
Will France win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $597 +$53 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 04 $103 +$106 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 04 $62 −$60 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 04 $219 +$143 +65%
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5 Jun 04 $728 −$9 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 03 $9 −$8 -99%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $1 +$8 +776%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET May 31 $109 −$109 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET May 31 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET May 31 $263 −$123 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET May 31 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET May 31 $197 +$66 +34%
Will Brazil win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $199 +$20 +10%
Will Senegal win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $163 −$89 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET May 31 $121 +$288 +238%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET May 31 $292 −$278 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET May 31 $130 +$164 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET May 31 $11 −$10 -94%
United States vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5 May 31 $208 +$52 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET May 31 $101 −$101 -100%
United States vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5 May 31 $226 +$14 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET May 31 $113 +$113 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET May 31 $76 +$38 +50%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 41% −$1,365
crypto 36% +$692
sports 23% +$107
world 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $195 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $195 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 75¢ $58 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 9¢ $59 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 70¢ $84 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $210 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 38¢ $294 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 85¢ $1 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 85¢ $673 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 99¢ $513 2h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 22¢ $161 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 75¢ $345 3h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 20¢ $154 3h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 71¢ $44 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 22h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $1,734 22h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $1,735 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 26h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $812 28h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 43¢ $203 29h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $1,017 45h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 83¢ $850 45h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $850 45h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 90¢ $768 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $767 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $543 4d
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 16¢ $194 4d
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 16¢ $188 4d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 10¢ $107 4d
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 11¢ $54 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-18.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -17.0% -24.9% 47% 35% -26.4%
≤30d 87 +7.1% -3.1% 53% 40% -11.9%
≤90d 87 +7.1% -3.1% 53% 40% -11.9%
all 158 -10.0% -18.6% 45% 38% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.6% 38% -12.1%
10% -26.4% 34% -20.5%
15% -33.5% 28% -28.2%
20% -40.0% 25% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $185.50 · official $185.50 (match) · 370 history records