Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T03:33:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B5 0xb52b…9646 sports 809 markets active 1h ago coverage 41d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 40d only
✗ bot/MM pace (66 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$659 (-3%) realized −$659 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate69%557W / 251L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$24per market
Trades / day66.2pace
Fees−$184est.
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$265
7 days−$256
14 days−$580
30 days−$1,075
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 83% −$759
other 11% −$169
weather 3% −$20
world 1% −$10
finance 1% +$1
crypto 0% $0
tech 0% −$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (66 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-7.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 182 +0.8% -8.8% 98% 2% -15.5%
≤30d 338 -2.7% -12.0% 76% 22% -23.2%
≤90d 808 +2.7% -7.1% 69% 38% -14.3%
all 808 +2.7% -7.1% 69% 38% -14.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover66.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.1% 38% -14.3%
10% ← realistic here -16.0% 33% -22.5%
15% -24.1% 27% -30.0%
20% -31.5% 21% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
45% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +3% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +7% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
3.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$9 vs −$23 · ×0.38 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

41d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$659
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses557 / 251
Est. fees paid−$184
Open positions0
Markets (closed)808 / 809
History coverage41d ⚠
Avg bet$24
Trades / day66.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 808 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Sapporo: Shiho Tsujioka vs Sae Noguchi Jun 26 $20 $0 +0%
ITF Asuncion: Sofia Meabe vs Luciana Moyano Jun 25 $20 $0 +0%
ITF Brussels: Tim Handel vs Samuele Pieri Jun 25 $10 $0 +0%
ITF Claremont: Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer vs Brandelyn Fulgenzi Jun 25 $15 $0 +0%
ITF Palma Del Rio: Elena Micic vs Meritxell Teixido Garcia Jun 25 $15 $0 +0%
Brengle vs. Khayrutdinova: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 25 $10 $0 +0%
Brengle vs. Khayrutdinova: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 25 $10 $0 +0%
ITF Rome: Madison Brengle vs Ekaterina Khayrutdinova Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Muchova vs. Tauson: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 25 $20 $0 +1%
Muchova vs. Tauson: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 25 $20 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Ribera (-1.5) vs Montgomery (+1.5) Jun 25 $23 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Montgomery (-1.5) vs Ribera (+1.5) Jun 25 $10 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Vandromme (-1.5) vs Bolkvadze (+1.5) Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Koike (-1.5) vs Jauffret (+1.5) Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
ITF Rome: Ena Koike vs Capucine Jauffret Jun 25 $10 $0 +0%
Ena Koike vs. Capucine Jauffret: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Timofeeva (-1.5) vs Watson (+1.5) Jun 25 $30 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Watson (-1.5) vs Timofeeva (+1.5) Jun 25 $30 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Rocha (-1.5) vs Marques (+1.5) Jun 25 $30 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Bertola (-2.5) vs Basing (+2.5) Jun 25 $1 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Semenistaja (-1.5) vs Gasanova (+1.5) Jun 25 $40 $0 +0%
Set 2 Winner: Dullinger vs Gschwendtner Jun 25 $20 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Zhu (-1.5) vs Kostovic (+1.5) Jun 25 $50 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Tsygourova (-1.5) vs Senica (+1.5) Jun 25 $20 $0 +0%
Nagal vs. Ajdukovic: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 25 $20 $0 +1%
Basing vs. Bertola: Match O/U 38.5 Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
ITF Gdansk: Chloe Paquet vs Britt Du Pree Jun 25 $10 $0 +0%
ITF Taipei: Thasaporn Naklo vs Dayeon Back Jun 25 $20 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Mochizuki (-2.5) vs Tabur (+2.5) Jun 25 $10 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Mochizuki (-1.5) vs Tabur (+1.5) Jun 25 $20 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Smith (-1.5) vs Zheng (+1.5) Jun 25 $30 $0 +0%
Obradovic vs. Radovanovic: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 25 $20 $0 +1%
Set 3 Winner: Smith vs Zheng Jun 25 $10 $0 +0%
Basing vs. Bertola: Set 3 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Basing vs. Bertola: Set 3 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Paldanius vs. Hoeyeraal: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Kawa vs. Day: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 25 $20 $0 +1%
Paldanius vs. Hoeyeraal: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Paldanius vs. Hoeyeraal: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Beckles vs. Rottoli: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 25 $10 $0 +0%
Michalski vs. Montes: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 25 $70 +$2 +2%
ITF Alkmaar: Stijn Paardekooper vs Jesse De Jager Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Paardekooper (-1.5) vs Jager (+1.5) Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Feldmane vs. Chainykova: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 25 $165 −$150 -91%
Set 2 Winner: Feldmane vs Chainykova Jun 25 $175 −$150 -86%
Set 1 Winner: Quinn vs Kopriva Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Plovdiv: Andres Santamarta vs Ognjen Milic Jun 25 $40 +$1 +3%
Lazarenko vs. Ipunesso: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 25 $20 $0 +1%
Zheng vs. Wang: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 25 $367 +$4 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Zamora vs Satterfield Jun 25 $76 +$2 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF Sapporo: Shiho Tsujioka vs Sae Noguchi BUY Sae Noguchi 100¢ $10 40m
ITF Sapporo: Shiho Tsujioka vs Sae Noguchi BUY Sae Noguchi 100¢ $10 40m
ITF Asuncion: Sofia Meabe vs Luciana Moyano BUY Luciana Moyano 100¢ $10 7h
ITF Asuncion: Sofia Meabe vs Luciana Moyano BUY Luciana Moyano 100¢ $10 7h
ITF Brussels: Tim Handel vs Samuele Pieri BUY Samuele Pieri 100¢ $10 8h
ITF Claremont: Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer vs Brandelyn Fulgenzi BUY Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer 100¢ $5 8h
ITF Claremont: Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer vs Brandelyn Fulgenzi BUY Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer 100¢ $5 8h
ITF Claremont: Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer vs Brandelyn Fulgenzi BUY Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer 100¢ $5 8h
ITF Palma Del Rio: Elena Micic vs Meritxell Teixido Garcia BUY Elena Micic 100¢ $5 8h
ITF Palma Del Rio: Elena Micic vs Meritxell Teixido Garcia BUY Elena Micic 100¢ $5 8h
ITF Palma Del Rio: Elena Micic vs Meritxell Teixido Garcia BUY Elena Micic 100¢ $5 8h
ITF Rome: Madison Brengle vs Ekaterina Khayrutdinova BUY Madison Brengle 100¢ $5 10h
Brengle vs. Khayrutdinova: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 10h
Brengle vs. Khayrutdinova: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 10h
Brengle vs. Khayrutdinova: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 10h
Brengle vs. Khayrutdinova: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 10h
Muchova vs. Tauson: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Under 99¢ $20 10h
Muchova vs. Tauson: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Under 99¢ $20 10h
Set Handicap: Ribera (-1.5) vs Montgomery (+1.5) BUY Montgomery 100¢ $3 11h
Set Handicap: Ribera (-1.5) vs Montgomery (+1.5) BUY Montgomery 100¢ $10 11h
Set Handicap: Ribera (-1.5) vs Montgomery (+1.5) BUY Montgomery 100¢ $10 11h
Set Handicap: Montgomery (-1.5) vs Ribera (+1.5) BUY Ribera 100¢ $10 11h
Set Handicap: Timofeeva (-1.5) vs Watson (+1.5) SELL Watson 100¢ $30 11h
Set Handicap: Watson (-1.5) vs Timofeeva (+1.5) SELL Timofeeva 100¢ $30 11h
Set Handicap: Watson (-1.5) vs Timofeeva (+1.5) BUY Timofeeva 100¢ $10 11h
Set Handicap: Timofeeva (-1.5) vs Watson (+1.5) BUY Watson 100¢ $10 11h
Set Handicap: Timofeeva (-1.5) vs Watson (+1.5) BUY Watson 100¢ $10 11h
Set Handicap: Watson (-1.5) vs Timofeeva (+1.5) BUY Timofeeva 100¢ $10 11h
Set Handicap: Timofeeva (-1.5) vs Watson (+1.5) BUY Watson 100¢ $10 11h
Set Handicap: Watson (-1.5) vs Timofeeva (+1.5) BUY Timofeeva 100¢ $10 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records