Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T06:25:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B5 0xb51f…71d0 sports 139 markets active 2h ago coverage 43d
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnoverP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (70 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$6,950 (+3%) realized +$6,950 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR24%break-even
Win rate50%69W / 70L
Whale WR77%big bets
Drawdown92%max
Avg bet$1,892per market
Trades / day69.9pace
Fees−$5,625est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 43d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$2,823
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (70 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-0.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +16.7% +5.6% 67% 67% +9.2%
≤30d 84 +28.4% +16.1% 55% 23% -6.3%
≤90d 139 +9.9% -0.6% 50% 24% -7.4%
all 139 +9.9% -0.6% 50% 24% -7.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover69.9 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.6% 24% -7.4%
10% -10.1% 12% -16.3%
15% ← realistic here -18.8% 7% -24.4%
20% -26.8% 4% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
49% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +10% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 77% (≥$2,289) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -16% → late +36% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
8.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$259 vs −$215 · ×1.2 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.19 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

43d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$6,950
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses69 / 70
Whale WR (big bets)77%
Est. fees paid−$5,625
Open positions0
Markets (closed)139 / 139
History coverage43d
Avg bet$1,892
Trades / day69.9
Drawdown92%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 139 Trades
no open positions (41 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 29 $1,799 +$786 +44%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 28 $1,200 −$187 -16%
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 28 $1,575 +$346 +22%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $28 −$28 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $663 +$37 +6%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $1,891 +$11 +1%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $1,356 −$158 -12%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $1,618 +$112 +7%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $4,146 +$217 +5%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $934 −$15 -2%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $2,112 −$284 -13%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $1,340 −$184 -14%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $2,944 +$401 +14%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $2,426 +$141 +6%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $4,364 −$886 -20%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $765 −$153 -20%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $4,053 +$259 +6%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $1,441 +$168 +12%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $1,124 −$82 -7%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $356 −$43 -12%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $1,923 +$216 +11%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $3,221 +$257 +8%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $3,117 +$1,215 +39%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $1,891 −$760 -40%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $1,626 −$8 -0%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $4,906 +$371 +8%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $475 +$25 +5%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $2,878 +$107 +4%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $2,676 −$310 -12%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $744 +$112 +15%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $2,758 −$81 -3%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $1,562 +$695 +44%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $329 +$138 +42%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $1,680 +$160 +10%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $539 −$78 -14%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $3,540 −$198 -6%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $1,649 +$167 +10%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $318 −$252 -79%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $2,085 +$498 +24%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $2,054 −$31 -2%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $2,328 −$352 -15%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $4,930 +$255 +5%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $2,289 −$604 -26%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $55 −$22 -39%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $1,239 −$258 -21%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $3,198 −$47 -2%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $1,618 +$377 +23%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $620 −$237 -38%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $3,720 +$624 +17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 100¢ $998 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 38¢ $390 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner SELL Karmine Corp 41¢ $314 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner SELL Karmine Corp 55¢ $60 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 35¢ $317 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner SELL Karmine Corp 33¢ $74 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner SELL Karmine Corp 33¢ $153 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner SELL Karmine Corp 33¢ $65 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 27¢ $245 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner SELL Karmine Corp 69¢ $378 2h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner SELL Karmine Corp 69¢ $232 2h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 63¢ $567 2h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner SELL Karmine Corp 35¢ $308 2h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner SELL Karmine Corp 35¢ $3 2h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 31¢ $281 2h
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 85¢ $19 23h
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 85¢ $30 23h
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 85¢ $4 23h
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 85¢ $4 23h
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 85¢ $4 23h
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 84¢ $779 23h
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 34¢ $347 23h
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 35¢ $14 24h
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 32¢ $13 24h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 100¢ $887 25h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 65¢ $583 25h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 60¢ $12 25h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 60¢ $19 25h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 60¢ $25 25h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 60¢ $60 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3063 history records